This paper analyzes the role of nonseparable utility and nontradables in business cycles and portfolio choice using a two-country, two-sector production economy model with a fairly general utility function. I find that nonseparability in utility can change the optimal portfolio choice significantly. Unlike the results of Stockman and Dellas (1989) or Baxter, Jermann and King (1998), the optimal...

Extensive empirical research has shown that in many markets institutional investors have a significant impact on prices and mitigate its adverse effects through their trading strategies. This paper develops a dynamic model of such thin markets, in which the market structure is one of bilateral oligopoly. The paper demonstrates that market thinness qualitatively changes equilibrium properties of...

We offer a framework to analyze Value-at-Risk based regulation rules and their possible distortion effects on financial markets. Our model is formulated in a continuous-time economy where investors maximize expected utility subject to some regulatory Value-at-Risk constraint when asset price dynamics are not lognormal and exhibit stochastic volatility. To retain tractability of the optimization...

Objective – The research objective of this paper is to establish an efficient awareness model emergency supplies dispatching for tropical cyclone disasters, so as timely deliver each disaster area at the lowest cost. Methodology/Technique Taking caused by super typhoon No.1409 "Rammasun" cities and counties in Guangxi example, 24 (districts) belonging 7 prefecture-level with more than 1000 peop...

We examine how insiders and firms trade when arbitrage is limited. When arbitrage is costly (proxied by high idiosyncratic risk), insiders and firms earn higher absolute returns on their trades (insider trading, share repurchases, and seasoned equity offerings) in the following year. Furthermore, they initiate their trades following greater past price movements in the preceding year. These resu...

The consensus wisdom of active mutual fund managers, as reflected in their average overand underweighting decisions, contains valuable information about future stock returns. Analyzing a comprehensive sample of active U.S. equity funds 1984—2008, we find that stocks heavily overweighted by active funds outperform their underweighted counterparts by more than 7% per year, after adjustments for t...

An experiment tested whether and in what circumstances people are more likely to believe an event simply because it makes them better off. Subjects observed a financial asset’s historical price chart, and received both an accuracy bonus for predicting the price at some future point, and an unconditional award that was either increasing or decreasing in this price. Despite incentives for hedging...

In an exchange economy under uncertainty with two periods, one physical good, and finitely many states of the world, we show that for every (complete or incomplete) market span there exists a sequence of securities such that if they are introduced into markets one by one, the prices of any security is not affected by the subsequent introduction of newer securities and they together generate the...

Do ETFs, one of the most popular investment products in recent times, benefit individual investors? Using data from one of the largest brokerages in Germany, we find that individual investors do not improve their portfolio performance, even before transactions costs, by using these passive products. Using counterfactual analysis, we show that this occurs mostly from buying ETFs at “wrong” point...

As the dependence structure (i.e. the copula) among the assets is ...xed, one might think that the riskier the assets, the riskier the portfolio. Surprisingly enough, this conjecture turns out to be false even for coherent risk measures and normal returns. We show that two conditions are able to preserve risk ordering under the portfolio: convexity for the risk measure and conditional increasin...