There is broad agreement among the most prominent observational studies that tenure insecurity deters investment. We present new experimental evidence testing this proposition: a land certification program randomized across villages in Zambia. Our results contradict consensus. Though intervention improved perceptions of security, it had no impact on investment following season. The still zero e...

A model is proposed that will enable forest and land use policy options to be explored in an repeatable, objective and quantitative way. Construction and use of the model should lead to a better understanding of spatial and temporal land use patterns. It will provide detailed spatially-explicit data on a range of parameters to enable on-going development and validation. The model is based on th...

The major global pressures of rapid urbanization and urban growth are being compounded by climate impacts, resulting in increased vulnerability for dwellers, with these vulnerabilities exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. Much this is concentrated peri-urban areas where development spreads into hazard-prone areas. Often, dominated poor-quality homes informal settlements or slums poor tenur...

A model is proposed that will allow forest and land use policy options to be explored in a repeatable, objective and quantitative way. Construction and use of the model should lead to a better understanding of spatial and temporal land use patterns. It will provide detailed spatially-explicit data on a range of parameters to enable rigorous testing and offer insights for further development. Th...