Bali and Cakici (2006) find no relation between equally-weighted portfolio returns and idiosyncratic risk, whereas Ang et al. (2006a) report a negative relation between value-weighted portfolio returns and idiosyncratic risk. Our analyses demonstrate that both findings can be explained by short-term monthly return reversals. The abnormal positive returns from taking a long (short) position in t...

This paper provides new evidence about the link between firm level total factor productivity (TFP) and stock returns. We estimate firm level TFP and show that it is strongly related to several firm characteristics such as size, the book to market ratio, investment, and hiring rate. Low productivity firms earn a significant premium over high productivity firms in the following year, and this pre...

This paper measures the mean, standard deviation, alpha, and beta of venture capital investments, using a maximum likelihood estimate that corrects for selection bias. The biascorrected estimation neatly accounts for log returns. It reduces the estimate of the mean log return from 108% to 15%, and of the log market model intercept from 92% to 7%: The selection bias correction also dramatically ...

The basic components of the risk/return model applicable to insurance consist of underwriting return, investment return and leverage. A pricing approach is presented to deal with underwriting and investment risk, guided by basic risk/return principles, which addresses the policyholder and shareholder perspectives in a consistent manner. A methodology to determine leverage is also presented, but...

Given two virtually separate literatures on return predictability and the risk-return relation, this paper reconciles the two literatures by investigating the underlying mechanism of the return predictability literature through exploiting the risk-return relation. In developing an empirical model to examine the business cycles-risk-return relationship, we consider the fact that market volatilit...

There are different strategies for selecting stocks, and different investors use different strategies according to their risk tolerance or their expected rate of return. In this study, the profitability of a broad range of stock se-lection strategies in Tehran Stock Exchange over the period 1370-1383, has been examined, and it has been investigated whether the successful strategies in other cou...

The problem of optimal portfolio selection has attracted a great attention in the finance and optimization field. The future stock price should be predicted in an acceptable precision, and a suitable model and criterion for risk and the expected return of the stock portfolio should be proposed in order to solve the optimization problem. In this paper, two new criterions for the risk of stock pr...

the purpose of this research is investigation of application of the arbitrage pricing theory and effect of unanticipated changes in a set of macroeconomic variables such as inflation rate, money supply, exchange rate, oil price, term structure and industrial production on expected security return in tehran stock exchange. in this research, data are analyzed quarterly for the period of 1997-2008...

In this study, the profitability of contrarian and momentum strategies were traded in mid- term based on trading volume. The stocks were categorized into three parts (high, middle and low) at the outset. Then, the relationship between excess return with three components such as cross-sectional risk, lead-lag effect and time-series pattern were examined based on Jegadeesh and Titman approach.The...