In this paper we propose a vine copula based Monte Carlo simulation model for estimating Portfolio Value at Risk. The vine copula model is introduced to analyze the complex dependence structure of different regional markets in the typical financial markets. Then we construct the vine copula based Portfolio Value at Risk model, taking into account the identified high dimensional dependence struc...

Electricity spot prices in the emerging power markets are volatile, a consequence of the unique physical attributes of electricity production and distribution. Uncontrolled exposure to market price risks can lead to devastating consequences for market participants in the restructured electricity industry. Lessons learned from the financial markets suggest that financial derivatives, when well u...

This paper argues that many determinants of generic oligopoly market outcomes can be studied in bidbased wholesale electricity markets under much weaker assumptions than in other oligopoly industries because of their rich data, regulatory history, and clearly specified market rules. These methods are compared to those used in existing studies of oligopolistic industries where the best data avai...

• Power plants, transmission lines and customers are distributed irregularly • Generation and transmission costs, as well as demand functions of customers differ by location • Transmission constraints may give market power for some firms in some regions S ystems Analysis Laboratory Helsinki University of Technology Student presentation Seminar on Modelling Electricity Markets 1998 / 6 Why two m...

Electricity market integration in East Asia is an important component of the energy market integration (EMI) initiatives supported by the East Asian Summit (EAS) group. The objectives of this study are twofold, namely, a) to present a review of the trends in regional electricity market integration and b) to draw implications for electricity market development in the EAS area. Specifically, this...

The deregulation of the electricity industry in many countries has created a number of marketplaces in which producers and consumers can operate in order to more effectively manage and meet their energy needs. To this end, this paper develops a new model for electricity retail where end-use customers choose their supplier from competing electricity retailers. The model is based on simultaneous ...

An experimental structure is demonstrated that represents end-use customers in electricity markets who can substitute part of their usage between day and night. Each customer’s demand relationship is represented by a two-step value function for each period, disaggregated from observed market demand relationships, that varies between day and night and during heat-waves. Three alternative demand-...

In this paper, we analyze Nash equilibria between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers’ strategies integrate the coupling of the two markets via the cost functions of the electricity production. We set out a clear Nash equilibrium on the power market that can be used to compute equil...

Introduction The EU Electricity and Gas Directives 96/92/EC and 98/30/EC were adopted in 1996 and 1998, with member countries having until February 1999 and August 2000 to incorporate their provisions into domestic legislation. At one level, the directives were the logical extension to public utilities of the principles of the single market – “the free movement of goods, persons, services and c...