Based on data from March 2008 to June 2020, we use the TVP-SVAR-SV model study time-varying impact of economic policy uncertainty Chinese commodity prices and analyze effect in different periods. The results show that: Firstly, has a significant prices, short-term is larger than long-term effect. Secondly, positively affects during stock market crash 2015; negatively global financial crisis Dec...

We discuss combining sign restrictions with information in external instruments (proxy variables) to identify structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models. In one setting, we assume the availability of valid instruments. Sign may then be used further orthogonal shocks, or as an additional piece pin down shocks identified by more precisely. a second that proxy variables are only “plausibly exo...

The Hybrid New Keynesian Philips Curve (HNKPC) is an update of the Curve. HNKPC discusses combination forward looking and backward on inflation rate. In this case, shock rate to unemployment will be analyzed according HNKPC. dynamics used from monetary policy aspect targeting framework (ITF). This research also combine various elements in new consensus macroeconomic ASEAN-3 as up-to-date idea. ...

Both sides of the institutions and growth debate have resorted largely to microeconometric techniques in testing hypotheses. In this paper, I build a panel structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model for a short panel of 119 countries over 10 years and find support for the institutions hypothesis. Controlling for individual fixed effects, I find that exogenous shocks to a proxy for institutio...

This paper analyzes the transmission mechanisms of a contractionary monetary policy shock on the real economy. The sufficiently long regime uniform time period since the political transformation in the Czech Republic provides evidence for effective inflation targeting by the Czech National Bank. I apply a recursive vector autoregression (VAR), a structural VAR, and structural vector error corre...