Existed studies have suggested a precursory relation between Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño the Southern Oscillations (ENSO) with 1-year time lag. The underlying mechanisms were attributed to atmospheric bridge and/or oceanic channel processes. In this study, dynamics in 23 climate models of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) are assessed by correlation analyses compar...

Projections of the sea level contribution from Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS AIS) rely on atmospheric oceanic drivers obtained climate models. The Earth System Models participating in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with previous 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models a selection CMIP5 to force multiple ...

Abstract. The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) 6 (CMIP6) historical future scenario simulations to quantify impacts already changing region. In particular, we investigate changes temperature during 21st century following scenarios...

We compare future changes in global mean temperature in response to different future scenarios which, for the first time, arise from emission-driven rather than concentration-driven perturbed parameter ensemble of a global climate model (GCM). These new GCM simulations sample uncertainties in atmospheric feedbacks, land carbon cycle, ocean physics and aerosol sulphur cycle processes. We find br...

The effect of the projected 21st century climate change on water quality in Old Woman Creek (OWC) watershed was evaluated using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) precipitation temperature projections from three best Global Climate Circulation Model (GCM)l ensemble downloaded Coupled Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). These GCMs (GFDL-ESM2M, MPI-ESM-MR, EC-EARTH) were identified as tho...

The data management plan of the Community Earth System Model (CESM)[1] from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) is given historical context and its policies, definitions, and features are detailed. The drivers of CESM data management are discussed, including the upcoming Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5), the ongoing Earth System Grid (ESG) project, and the strateg...

This paper presents a comparison of global temperature variations in the stratosphere and troposphere between satellite measurements (SSU + MSU), reanalysis data sets, and CMIP5 models. The focus is on comparing interannual variability and trends among the data sets, and direct comparisons are made by constructing weighted averages of the reanalysis and model temperatures to approximately match...