Traffic prediction constitutes a hot research topic of network metrology. MultiStep ahead prediction allows to predict more values in the future. Then, the result can be used to act proactively in many prediction applications. In this work, the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and the linear minimum mean square error (LMMSE) are used for multiStep predicting. Via experimen...

background and objectives: efficient cost management in hospitals’ pharmaceutical inventories have thepotential to remarkably contribute to optimization of overall hospital expenditures. to this end, reliable forecasting models for accurate prediction of future pharmaceutical demands are instrumental. while the linear methods are frequently used for forecasting purposes chiefly due to their sim...

The most destructive enemy of the lychee, Litchi chinensis Sonn. (Sapindales: Sapindaceae), in India is a stink bug, Tessaratoma papillosa (Drury) (Hemiptera: Tessaratomidae). The population of T. papillosa on lychee trees varied from 1.436 0.501 to 9.856 3.924 insects per branch in this study. An increase in the temperature and a decrease in the relative humidity during summer months (April to...

Drought forecasting plays an important role in the planning and management of water resources systems. In this paper, a hybrid wavelet and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (WANFIS) is proposed for drought forecasting. The WANFIS model was developed by combining two methods, namely a discrete wavelet transform and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model. To assess the effectiven...

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of busy telephone traffic which is influenced by multiple factors, this paper proposes a combined forecasting model which takes the influence of multiple factors into consideration and combines three models ——wavelet transform, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and least squares support vector machines (LSSVM) model, LSSVM is opti...

The import and export of goods normally require the involvement of many different sectors from purchasing, manufacturing, transporting, inventory, distribution, etc. In order to have proper plans, accurately forecast the volume of imported-exported goods is the core issue. By comparing the performance of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, Grey model, and their joint Fourier...

This study aimed to identify circulating influenza virus strains and vulnerable population groups and investigate the distribution and seasonality of influenza viruses in Ningbo, China. Then, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for prediction was established. Influenza surveillance data for 2006-2014 were obtained for cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) (n = 129,528) fro...

With service types and requirements of broadband satellite internet continuously increasing, improving QoS (Quality of Service) of satellite internet has attracted extensive attention. To reduce the impact of selfsimilarity caused by various of service traffic sources converging on satellite communication system, this paper establishes a novel model from the perspective of self-similar traffic ...

In a competitive and dynamic market, financial institutions must forecast the proportion of mortgages that will become delinquent, default or prepay. This paper develops a novel forecasting model with nonstationary Markov chain and Grey forecasting, capable of predicting the likelihood of delinquency, default and prepayment. Home mortgage data, obtained by a major Taiwan financial institution f...