This paper studies conditions under which demand-side shocks can generate realistic business cycles in RBC models. Although highly persistent demand shocks are necessary for generating procyclical investment, variable capacity utilization and habit formation can reduce the required degree of persistence. Keywords: Demand Shocks; Hall’s Residual; Real Business Cycles; Crowding Out; Investment Dy...

This paper assesses the effect of coal energy production volume, exchange rate, inflation and gross domestic product on volume Indonesia's exports in 1998-2019. Based an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, short run, we find that has a negative relationship to exports. However, other hand, positive In long also inflation, Besides, rate Keywords: Coal Energy, Exchange Rate, Inflation...

We investigate an open monetary growth model with sluggish prices and quantities. The model combines the dynamics of Rose's employment cycle and Metzler's inventory cycle with internal nominal dynamics of Tobin and external nominal dynamics of Dornbusch type, implying eight laws of motion, four for the real sector and four for the nominal part. These intrinsically nonlinear 8D-dynamics are asym...

Recent developments in econometrics and economic theory attest the growing evidence of strong uncertainty. The paper argues that these developments both question seriously the methodological foundations of the mainstream macroeconomics and support Keynes’s powerful concepts and theory. It emphasizes how replacing ‘risk’ with strong uncertainty suffices to transform the standard four-macro-marke...

The paper relates to the burgeoning literature that combines an interest rate reaction function of the central bank with an IS equation and a Phillips curve relationship. It takes up the deterministic prototype model advocated by J.B.Taylor and D.Romer and, under the assumption of open market operations, makes the implied dynamics of bonds and high-powered money explicit. As a minor extension, ...

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It is well known that increasing returns to scale and firms’ market power are two potential sources of sunspot expectations in Neoclassical models. In this paper we show that both the degree of returns to scale and market power can have fundamentally different implications for self-fulfilling expectations in New Keynesian models depending on the nature of price rigidity. As a result, the design...

This paper investigates fair (i.e., envy-free and efficient) allocations in an overlapping generations economy without production with two-period lived agents. We show that there is a conflict between no-envy efficiency when all have identical preferences. crucially depends on the size of given young age consumption initial old generation relative to at golden-rule. then exist non-stationary pr...

On one monthly time-series data set of Vietnam economy over 02/2008–09/2018, the Time-Varying-Coefficient VAR model records that trade-off between inflation and output growth is mitigated by foreign capital inflows. The mostly determined credit supply growth, while largely driven direct investment (FDI) A increase FDI USD 1 billion can raise 1.77% rate. result also holds on accounting for excha...