نتایج جستجو برای: methodological fallacy

تعداد نتایج: 63597  

Journal: :Academic Emergency Medicine 2004

2015
Luciano Augusto Toledo Moises Ari Zilber

This essay is composed of a review of theoretical references by means of a critical conceptual analysis of aspects applicable to the theme of innovation and technology. It indicates that the innovative process is challenging as it allows for a variety of interpretations and involves the administration of competencies in the scope of technology and management. Thoughtful practice requires time, ...

2013
Fábio Campos Dino Lincoln Maria Neves Walter Correia Marcelo Márcio Soares

There are moments within the process of creating an artifact, for instance at the initial requirements gathering or in the assessment phase, that users input data is collected. There may be an impact directly on the results of the analysis of this data if, for some reason, this data input is not accurate. This paper will focus on a specific phenomenon, known as the Conjunction Fallacy, which ma...

Journal: :Journal of Applied Logic 2003

2007
Norman Fenton Martin Neil

Probability theory, especially Bayesian probability, is widely misunderstood by the general public. Lawyers are no different from ordinary members of the public in falling victim to arguments that have been known to mathematicians for decades to be fallacies. The so-called prosecutor’s fallacy and the defendant’s fallacy are two well-known examples that arise from a basic misunderstanding of co...

2014
Pavlos Msaouel Theocharis Kappos Athanasios Tasoulis Alexandros P. Apostolopoulos Ioannis Lekkas Elli-Sophia Tripodaki Nikolaos C. Keramaris

Purpose The aim of this study is to determine the perceived familiarity of medical residents with statistical concepts, assess their ability to integrate these concepts in clinical scenarios, and investigate their susceptibility to the gambler's fallacy and the conjunction fallacy. Methods A multi-institutional, cross-sectional survey of Greek medical residents was performed. Participants were ...

Journal: :Synthese 2009
Rodrigo Moro

In a seminal work, Tversky and Kahneman showed that in some contexts people tend to believe that a conjunction of events (e.g., Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement) is more likely to occur than one of the conjuncts (e.g., Linda is a bank teller). This belief violates the conjunction rule in probability theory. Tversky and Kahneman called this phenomenon the "conjunctio...

2015
Li-Jun Ji Kayla McGeorge Ye Li Albert Lee Zhiyong Zhang

Euro-Canadians and Chinese typically hold different theories about change; Euro-Canadians often engage in linear thinking whereas Chinese often engage in non-linear thinking. The present research investigated the effects of culture-specific theories of change in two related gambling fallacies: the gambler's fallacy (GF; the belief that one is due for a win after a run of losses) and the hot-han...

Journal: :PsychNology Journal 2014
Antonio Lieto Fabiana Vernero

The research in Human Computer Interaction (HCI) has nowadays extended its attention to the study of persuasive technologies. Following this line of research, in this paper we focus on websites and mobile applications in the e-commerce domain. In particular, we take them as an evident example of persuasive technologies. Starting from the hypothesis that there is a strong connection between logi...

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