One of the longest running questions that has been regularly included in Gallup’s national public opinion poll is “Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?” Because the death penalty is governed by state laws rather than federal laws, it is of special interest to know how public opinion varies by state, and how it has changed over time within each state. In this...

This paper describes the followed methodology to automatically generate titles for a corpus of questions that belong to sociological opinion polls. Titles for questions have a twofold function: (1) they are the input of user searches and (2) they inform about the whole contents of the question and possible answer options. Thus, generation of titles can be considered as a case of automatic summa...

Profile inference of SNS users is valuable for marketing, target advertisement, and opinion polls. Several studies examining profile inference have been reported to date. Although information of various types is included in SNS, most such studies only use text information. It is expected that incorporating information of other types into text classifiers can provide more accurate profile infere...

• A new model for multi-opinion systems targeting better election forecasting. Temporal attenuation (TA) models opinion momentum from pre-election polls. Validation on US Presidential elections datasets 1968 to 2016. TA achieves 23–37% higher forecasting performance than state of the art. Our method works without need social-economical indices. Electoral is an ongoing scientific challenge with ...

This article explores the impact of COVID-19 epidemic on business models automotive-sector organizations, specifically authorized passenger car dealerships in Poland. The research aims to determine how were transformed during pandemic. methods used include a literature review and opinion polls. begins by discussing significance evolution changes automotive sector. results focus pandemic brought...

10.1056/nejmp0906394 nejm.org e48(1) and, if enacted, sent to the Pres­ ident for his approval and signa­ ture. Previous research suggests that public opinion will play an important role in the outcome of this process. Experience suggests that although the final legislation is likely to be complex, the pub­ lic will form an overall view lead­ ing it either to support or to op­ pose enactment, b...

Pre-election opinion polls are an increasingly prominent aspect of political campaigns, yet they often vary in terms their results, sources, and where published. Citizens therefore confronted with the proposition which to give more credence than others shaping voting behaviour. This study investigates relationship between subjective determinations poll credibility behaviour polarised context Tu...

Accurate multiagent social simulation requires a computational model of how people incorporate their observations of real-world events into their beliefs about the state of their world. Current methods for creating such agent-based models typically rely on manual input that can be both burdensome and subjective. In this investigation, we instead pursue automated methods that can translate avail...

We consider settings where a collective intelligence is formed by aggregating information contributed from many independent agents, such as product reviews, community sensing, or opinion polls. We propose a novel mechanism that elicits both private signals and beliefs. The mechanism extends the previous versions of the Bayesian Truth Serum (the original BTS, the RBTS, and the multi-valued BTS),...