For data carrying a non-Euclidean geometric structure it is natural to perform statistics via geometric descriptors. Typical candidates are means, geodesics, or more generally, lower dimensional subspaces, which carry specific structure. Asymptotic theory for such descriptors is slowly unfolding and its application to statistical testing usually requires one more step: Assessing the distributio...

This paper characterizes the term structure of risk measures such as Value at Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall under different econometric approaches including multivariate regime switching, GARCH-in-mean models with student-t errors, two-component GARCH models and a non-parametric bootstrap. We show how to derive the risk measures for each of these models and document large variations in term...

We propose a new nonparametric method for testing the parametric form of a regression function in the presence of time series errors. The test is motivated by recent advancement in the theory of ANOVA with large number of factor levels and also utilizes a new difference-based estimation method in nonparametric regression with time-series errors proposed by Hall and Van Keilegom (2003). The test...

The problem of detecting a shift in the percentile of a Birnbaum–Saunders population in a process monitoring situation is considered. For example, such problems may arise when the quality characteristic of interest is tensile strength or breaking stress. The parametric bootstrap method is used to develop a quality control chart for monitoring percentiles when process measurements have a Birnbau...

Classical statistical theory ignores model selection in assessing estimation accuracy. Here we consider bootstrap methods for computing standard errors and confidence intervals that take model selection into account. The methodology involves bagging, also known as bootstrap smoothing, to tame the erratic discontinuities of selection-based estimators. A useful new formula for the accuracy of bag...

——————————————————————————————————— It is common in parametric bootstrap to select the model from the data, and then treat it as it were the true model. Kilian (1998) have shown that ignoring the model uncertainty may seriously undermine the coverage accuracy of bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse response estimates which are closely related with multi-step-ahead prediction intervals. In...

Two bootstrap-corrected variants of the Akaike information criterion are proposed for the purpose of small-sample mixed model selection. These two variants are asymptotically equivalent, and provide asymptotically unbiased estimators of the expected Kullback-Leibler discrepancy between the true model and a fitted candidate model. The performance of the criteria is investigated in a simulation s...

The aim of this study was to undertake the theoretical derivations of non-parametric methods, which use linear regressions based on rank order, for stability analyses. These methods were extension different parametric methods used for stability analyses and the result was compared with a standard non-parametric method. Intensive computational methods (e.g., bootstrap and permutation) were appli...

A kernel embedding of probability distributions into reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) has recently been proposed, which allows the comparison of two probability measures P and Q based on the distance between their respective embeddings: for a sufficiently rich RKHS, this distance is zero if and only if P and Q coincide. In using this distance as a statistic for a test of whether two sam...

In wood engineering, lower quantile estimation is vital to the safety of the construction with wood materials. In this thesis, we will first study the censored Weibull maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the lower quantile as in the current industrial standard D5457 (ASTM, 2004a) from a statistical point of view. According to our simulations, the lower quantile estimated by the censored Weibul...