نتایج جستجو برای: sea level rise
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Future sea level rise caused by climate change would disrupt the physical processes, economic activities, and social systems in coastal regions. Based on a hypothetical global sea level increase of one to six meters, we developed GIS methods to assess and visualize the global impacts of potential inundation using the best available global datasets. After susceptible areas were delineated, we es...
Sea level rise has the potential to influence the location of baselines along the coast from which claims to maritime jurisdiction are made. Accordingly, sea level rise may have adverse impacts on the extent of national maritime claims. This article provides a brief discussion of sea level rise before exploring the link between potentially variable baselines and the outer limits to maritime cla...
Taking the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) climate and socio-economic scenarios (A1FI, A2, B1 and B2 'future worlds'), the potential impacts of sea-level rise through the twenty-first century are explored using complementary impact and economic analysis methods at the global scale. These methods have never been explored together previously. In all scenarios, the exposure and hence t...
We evaluate paleo-, historical, and future sea-level rise along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast. The rate of relative sea-level rise in New Jersey decreased from 3.5± 1.0mm/yr at 7.5–6.5 ka, to 2.2± 0.8mm/yr at 5.5–4.5 ka to a minimum of 0.9± 0.4mm/yr at 3.3–2.3 ka. Relative sea level rose at a rate of 1.6± 0.1mm/yr from 2.2 to 1.2 ka (750 Common Era [CE]) and 1.4± 0.1mm/yr from 800 to 1800 CE. Geo...
[1] Using an inverse statistical model we examine potential response in sea level to the changes in natural and anthro‐ pogenic forcings by 2100. With six IPCC radiative forcing scenarios we estimate sea level rise of 0.6–1.6 m, with confidence limits of 0.59 m and 1.8 m. Projected impacts of solar and volcanic radiative forcings account only for, at maximum, 5% of total sea level rise, with an...
This document describes an analysis of long-term relative sea level change 1 at Funafuti, Tuvalu. It is based on data provided by the University of Hawaii Sea Level Centre (UHSLC) and the Australian National Tidal Facility (NTF), and covers the years 1978 to 2001 inclusive. Standard statistical techniques have been used to estimate the rate of change of sea level and its associated uncertainty....
Simulations of the last 500 yr carried out using the Third Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere GCM (HadCM3) with anthropogenic and natural (solar and volcanic) forcings have been analyzed. Globalmean surface temperature change during the twentieth century is well reproduced. Simulated contributions to global-mean sea level rise during recent decades due to thermal expansion (the largest term...
The average global sea level was rising through the 20th century as a result of global warming [8, 9, 26]. The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimated that between 1901 and 2010, the mean sea level rate 1.7±0.2 mm/yr and increased to 3.2±0.4 mm/yr between 1993 and 2010, and projected that in 2100 the largest increase in global average sea level ...
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