نتایج جستجو برای: seasonal error correction model secm

تعداد نتایج: 2454720  

2015
Seung Oh Nam SeungYoung Oh Hyun Kyung Kim

This paper investigates Korean financial markets for the study of market microstructure of price discovery in the KOSPI 200 stock index and its related derivatives markets using different time-interval price data. The Granger causality test and vector error correction model are used to analyze the empirical relationship between markets. The lead–lag relationship between the KOSPI 200 stock inde...

2014
Jia Tu Defeng Gu Yi Wu Dongyun Yi Jiasong Wang Serge Prudhomme

Limiting factors for the precise orbit determination POD of low-earth orbit LEO satellite using dual-frequency GPS are nowadays mainly encountered with the in-flight phase error modeling. The phase error is modeled as a systematic and a random component each depending on the direction of GPS signal reception. The systematic part and standard deviation of random part in phase error model are, re...

2010
Subrata Kumar Mitra

The objective of the paper is to examine applicability of Taylor type rule in current Indian economic environment. India has gradually slackened its control on several macroeconomic variables and allowed influence of market forces in many areas. In this scenario, we tried to examine an extended Taylor type equation involving interest rates, output gap, inflation gap, foreign exchanges rate, sto...

2004
Luke Keele Suzanna De Boef

The error correction model is generally thought to be isomorphic to integrated data and the modeling of cointegrated processes, and as such, is considered inappropriate for stationary data. Given that many political time series are not integrated, analysts are unable to take advantages of the error correction model’s ability to capture both long and short-term dynamics in a single statistical m...

2007
RANGAN GUPTA Renée van Eyden

This paper develops a Bayesian Vector Error Correction Model (BVECM) for forecasting inventory investment in South Africa. The model is estimated using quarterly data on actual sales, production, unfilled orders, price levels and interest rates, for the period of 1978 to 2000. The out-of-sample-forecast accuracy obtained from the BVECM, over the forecasting horizon of 2001:1 to 2003:4, is compa...

Journal: :Acta Mechanica Sinica 2004

2011
Joseph Ayo Babalola

The study examined the nexus of interest rate deregulation, lending rate and agricultural productivity in Nigeria by employing co-integration and error correction techniques on annual data spanning 1986 to 2009. Nigeria has embarked on several agricultural policy measures aimed at repositioning and enhancing variables that affects the sector’s productivity. The findings from the study showed th...

2015
Douglas B. Reynolds Michael K. Pippenger

This study revisits the OPEC cartel hypothesis using a case study. A test is conducted to see if Venezuela has its production Granger cause its OPEC quota or whether the OPEC quota for Venezuela Granger causes Venezuelan production. The results show both occur at different times. In the short run, OPEC’s oil production quota for Venezuela Granger causes Venezuelan production. However, shortly a...

1999
Abraham Abraham

Recent evidence provided by Diebold, Gardeazabal, and Yilmaz (1994) for the post-1973 floating rate period points toward the predictive superiority of a martingale representation of exchange rate evolution over that of an error correction model that assumes rates are cointegrated. This is an appealing result from the perspective of efficient assimilation of randomly arriving information. As a d...

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