Concurrent research documents sizeable changes in the volatility of U.S. macroeconomic time series; e.g., see Kim and Nelson (1999), McConnell and Pérez-Quirós (2000), Stock and Watson (2002), and Sensier and van Dijk (2004). Most of the evidence from this literature suggests a sizeable reduction in volatility for many series; many of them used to construct business cycle indicators. With the e...