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The chronic government deficit (fiscal deficit) and increase in the price level (inflation) have become major concerns for economists policymakers. While numerous studies examined twin problems of fiscal inflation both developed developing economies, their results are inconclusive due to different estimation techniques, chosen time periods, selection variables, etc. Therefore, we deficit-inflat...

This study investigates the impact of climate and non-climate factors on cereal production in Somalia from 1990 to 2019. The used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach analyze effect CO2, temperature, rainfall, land under production, rural population production. employed ARDL model determine long-run short-run effects variables. results indicate that all variables negatively i...

This study investigates the response of Chinese stock returns to oil prices amidst COVID-19 pandemic using both linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models. The results indicate that price Global Fear Index ( GFI ), respectively, affect positively negatively in short run. While asymmetry matters, do not respond changes long

External public debt and foreign exchange reserve (FER) are performing a crucial role in the growth development of countries. To examine short-run long-run dynamics among external (EPD) FER Ethiopia, study used 39 years data (1981 to 2019) from National bank Ethiopia (NBE) World Bank sets. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model with error correction (ECM) was employed after checking po...

This paper investigates whether exports are the engine of production growth in forest industries in three countries. A bivariate autoregressive distributed lag model of production and exports was estimated with data of eleven forest industries from China, Finland, and the United States. Inferences were based on the short-run and long-run partial multipliers from exports to production by industr...