In earlier studies, the estimation of the volatility of a stock using information on the daily opening, closing, high and low prices has been developed; the additional information in the high and low prices can be incorporated to produce unbiased (or near-unbiased) estimators with substantially lower variance than the simple open-close estimator. This paper tackles the more difficult task of es...

We introduce a robust and asymptotically unbiased estimator for the coefficient of tail dependence in multivariate extreme value statistics. The estimator is obtained by fitting a second order model to the data by means of the minimum density power divergence criterion. The asymptotic properties of the estimator are investigated. The efficiency of our methodology is illustrated on a small simul...

This paper will study the estimation of parameter of Topp-Leone distribution based on lower record values. First, the minimum variance unbiased estimator and maximum likelihood estimator are obtained. Then the Bayes estimator is derived under symmetric loss function and further the empirical Bayes estimators is also obtained based on marginal probability density of record sample and maximum lik...

A nonparametric model-assisted survey estimator for status estimation based on local polynomial regression is extended to incorporate spatial auxiliary information. Under mild assumptions, this estimator is design-unbiased and consistent. Simulation studies show that the nonparametric regression estimator is competitive with standard parametric techniques when a parametric specification is corr...

In large extensive form games with imperfect information, Counterfactual Regret Minimization (CFR) is a popular, iterative algorithm for computing approximate Nash equilibria. While the base algorithm performs a full tree traversal on each iteration, Monte Carlo CFR (MCCFR) reduces the per iteration time cost by traversing just a sampled portion of the tree. On the other hand, MCCFR’s sampled v...

Asymptotic distribution of the mean survival time based on the Kaplan-Meier curve with an extrapolated 'tail' is derived. A closed formula of the variance estimate is provided. Asymptotic properties of the estimator were studied in a simulation study, which showed that this estimator was unbiased with proper coverage probability and followed a normal distribution. An example is used to demonstr...

In this work, we construct a risk estimator for hard thresholding which can be used as a basis to solve the difficult task of automatically selecting the threshold. As hard thresholding is not even continuous, Stein’s lemma cannot be used to get an unbiased estimator of degrees of freedom, hence of the risk. We prove that under a mild condition, our estimator of the degrees of freedom, although...

In this article, we consider the estimation of P[Y < X], when strength, X and stress, Y are two independent variables of Burr Type XII distribution. The MLE of the R based on one simple iterative procedure is obtained. Assuming that the common parameter is known, the maximum likelihood estimator, uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and Bayes estimator of P[Y < X] are discussed. The ex...

Deep neural networks are powerful parametric models that can be trained efficiently using the backpropagation algorithm. Stochastic neural networks combine the power of large parametric functions with that of graphical models, which makes it possible to learn very complex distributions. However, as backpropagation is not directly applicable to stochastic networks that include discrete sampling ...

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the mean vector of a singular multivariate normal distribution with an unknown singular covariance matrix. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be minimax relative to a quadratic loss weighted by the Moore-Penrose inverse of the covariance matrix. An unbiased risk estimator relative to the weighted quadratic loss is provided for a Baranchik...