abstract in present paper has tried to examine and investigate quality of effectiveness of monetary shocks on the growth of agricultural sector by using time series dataes of iran economy during 1960-2006 , filter hodric-prescott method and liner regressive models. the resultes show that qualily of effectiveness monetary shocks on growth of agricultural sector is asymmetric and length of effect...

This paper applies the Hodrck-Prescott (HP) filter to forecast short-term residential real estate prices under cyclical movements. We separate the trend component from the cyclical component. We show that each regional residential market reacts not only to previous price movements, but also that these regional markets react to previous shocks under Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARI...

El estudio de la capacidad resiliencia cobra más fuerza a partir recesión 2008-2009, considerada como una las graves crisis económicas desde principios los años treinta. En este contexto, investigación en torno resulta particularmente relevante. Este documento tiene por objetivo, analizar diferencias el comportamiento del empleo y PIB Baja California Sur, ante fenómenos hidrometeorológicos que ...

a r t i c l e i n f o Real exchange rates exhibit important low-frequency fluctuations. This makes the analysis of real exchange rates at all frequencies a more sound exercise than the typical business cycle one, which compares actual and simulated data after the Hodrick-Prescott filter is applied to both. A simple two-country, two-good, international real business cycle model can explain the v...

We estimate the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of permanent and transitory shocks to house price appreciation. Besides borrowing constraints, we consider two different models under which those shocks may affect consumption. In the first one, we treat housing as a risky asset. In the second one, housing has a role as a consumption and as an investment good. In both, changes in the rate...

This paper consists of two parts. In the first part we carry out a traditional growth accounting exercise for the private business sectors of the Swedish economy. We search for structural breaks during the sample period, using Chow tests, using a dynamic specification of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth rates. Grangercausality tests are carried out for the nine sub-sectors of the private ...