نتایج جستجو برای: infinite time ruin probability
تعداد نتایج: 2102660 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this paper we investigate the ruin probability in the classical risk model under a positive constant interest force. We restrict ourselves to the case where the claim size is heavy-tailed, i.e. the equilibrium distribution function (e.d.f.) of the claim size belongs to a wide subclass of the subexponential distributions. Two-sided estimates for the ruin probability are developed by reduction...
Ruin theory concerns the study of stochastic processes that represent the time evolution of the surplus of a stylized non-life insurance company. The initial goal of early researchers of the field, Lundberg (1903) and Cramér (1930), was to determine the probability for the surplus to become negative. In those pioneer works, the authors show that the ruin probability ψ(u) decreases exponentially...
Recently, nonhomogeneous claim sizes have been considered in the actuarial literature starting from the fact that the claims are seasonally influenced by the economic environment. In this context, Raducan et al. [8] obtained recursive formulas for the ruin probability at or before claim instants, and stated a conjecture that relates the order of the claims arrival to the magnitude of the corres...
In this note we provide a simple alternative derivation of an explicit formula of Kwan and Yang [14] for the probability of ruin in a risk model with a certain dependence between general claim inter-occurrence times and subsequent claim sizes of conditionally exponential type. The approach puts the type of formula in a general context, illustrating the potential for similar simple ruin probabil...
The problem of recovering the ruin probability in the classical risk model based on the scaled Laplace transform inversion is studied. It is shown how to overcome the problem of evaluating the ruin probability at large values of an initial surplus process. Comparisons of proposed approximations with the ones based on the Laplace transform inversions using a fixed Talbot algorithm as well as on ...
Catastrophes produce rare and highly correlated insurance claims, which depend on the amount of coverage at different locations. A joint probability distribution of these claims is analytically intractable. The most promising approach for estimating total claims for a particular combination of decision variables involves geographically explicit simulations of catastrophes. The straightforward u...
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