Empirical support for the long-run Fisher effect, a hypothesis that a permanent change in inflation leads to an equal change in the nominal interest rate, has been hard to come by. This paper provides a plausible explanation of why past studies have been unable to find support for the long-run Fisher effect. This paper argues that the necessary permanent change to the inflation rate following a...

Models that emphasize sticky prices to explain persistent real exchange rate fluctuations predict that such fluctuations should be less persistent in high inflation countries relative to low inflation countries. Cross-country regression results, in general, do not support this implication.  2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

This paper presents a small macro-econometric model which is further used topredict inflation and produce different monetary policy simulations concerninginflation targeting in the Czech Republic. The problems connected with inflationtargeting for transition economies are discussed as well as the differentmodelling approaches suitable for policy simulation and inflation fore...

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the welfare cost of inflation in Iran. We first use the long-horizon regression approach developed by Fisher and Seater (1993) to obtain an estimate of the inflation rate elasticity of money demand and then the Baily’s consumer surplus approach to calculate the welfare cost function. The results show that reducing inflation rate from 40% to 0% increases ...

the main objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of monetary regime (countries with inflation targeting monetary policy versus countries with exchange rate anchor) on the extent of exchange rate pass-through over the period of 1999-2010. to achieve this objective, the econometric model has been estimated by dynamic panel data approach and arrelano- bond (ab) method. the empirical ...

Starting with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, over the past twenty years a large number of central banks have adopted inflation targeting as their framework for monetary policy. As the second decade of inflation targeting comes to a close, a retrospective assessing how well it has worked, what lessons have been learned and what challenges may lie ahead is most appropriate. During much of the p...

We propose a new approach to measuring long-run inflation risk, the inflation risk premium, and inflation expectations for the UK over the period 1985–2012. By adding long-term bond futures to the information set of inflation-indexed and nominal bonds, inflation risk is measured as an incremental time-varying covariance obtained from a trivariate GARCH model with dynamic conditional correlation...

Under conventional inflation targeting (IT), the lower bound on nominal interest rates gives rise to a systematic downward bias in that substantially reduces welfare. Using two variants of New Keynesian model, we investigate whether monetary policy strategy aims stabilize an average rate—rather than period-by-period rate—leads better outcomes. With rational expectations, price level (PLT)—the l...

Background: One of the most fundamental objectives of the macroeconomic policies is to realize the relationship between economic growth and inflation. According to some monetary policy advisors, inflation reflects erosion in consumer’s purchasing power. Inflation as an important economic variable, affect the economic growth and its impact on economic growth has been proposed in various theories...