Inclement weather on election day is widely seen to benefit certain political parties at the expense of others. Empirical evidence for this weather-vote share hypothesis is sparse however. We examine the effects of rainfall and temperature on share of the votes of eight political parties that participated in 13 national parliament elections, held in the Netherlands from 1971 to 2010. This paper...

This paper presents results of daily rainfall estimates for the flood event in Albania occurred during the end of September 2002 (from the 21 until the 23). Estimated precipitations based on Meteosat-7 data and computed using various techniques, are compared with surface based observations. The two techniques, developed for convective clouds, were employed to screen the Albanian Flood. On one h...

We consider a deposition model in which balls rain down at random towards a 2-dimensional surface, roll downwards over existing adsorbed balls, are adsorbed if they reach the surface, and discarded if not. We prove a spatial law of large numbers and central limit theorem for the ultimate number of balls adsorbed onto a large toroidal surface, and also for the number of balls adsorbed on the res...

The use of infiltration trenches has proven to be useful to reduce runoff in urban surfaces. The design of these structures is based on the continuity equation taking into account inflow, outflow and detention water volumes. Basic procedures evaluate entering flow rates and relative volumes directly as a function of rain event characteristics, without taking into account rain-runoff processes o...

We introduce an interacting particle system to model the emergence of drug resistant diseases, one of the most serious health problems in modern society. We are interested in diseases for which a natural strain may mutate into a drug resistant strain. This happens, for instance, when antibiotics are misused. The main result of our analysis is that with an efficient drug against the natural stra...

Climate models and satellite observations both indicate that the total amount of water in the atmosphere will increase at a rate of 7% per kelvin of surface warming. However, the climate models predict that global precipitation will increase at a much slower rate of 1 to 3% per kelvin. A recent analysis of satellite observations does not support this prediction of a muted response of precipitat...

Abrupt Monsoon Transitions Exist in Paleorecords and Pertinent Models Paleoclimatic records show abrupt monsoon shifts at various different locations and historic periods (1–5). An important question is whether such transitions are possible in the future (6). To this end, we carved out the physical mechanism for such transitions in a purposefully simple conceptual model (7). Recently, Boos and ...

Injecting particles into atmosphere to reflect sunlight, stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), represents a potential technological solution the threat of climate change. But could cure be worse than disease? Understanding low probability, yet plausible, high-impact cases is critical prudent risk management and SAI deliberation. analyses such high impact outcomes are lacking in research. This ...

This paper explores people’s behavior when they are facing financial risks. Through the setting of an economics experiment, people’s willingness to bear financial risks and their tendency to impose risks on others are investigated. The experiment result shows that most people are risk-neutral or risk-averse when making decision under financial environment, and their tendency to impose risks on ...