The systematic testing of intermediate-term earthquake prediction algorithms is faced with the difficulties of (1) the limited time spanned by instrumental catalogs of seismicity in most areas of the world, and (2) the relative arbitrariness of the selection of the region and time interval over which to apply the algorithm. We offer a systematic method which uses worldwide seismicity to compute...

A high-resolution relative earthquake location procedure is used to image the fine-scale seismicity structure of the northern Hayward fault, California. The seismicity defines a narrow, near-vertical fault zone containing horizontal alignments of hypocenters extending along the fault zone. The lineations persist over the 15-year observation interval, implying the localization of conditions on t...

This paper presents a cartographic framework based on algorithms of GMT codes for mapping seismically active areas in Venezuela. The data included raster grids from GEBCO, EGM-2008, and vector geological layers the USGS. were iteratively processed console GMT, converted by GDAL, formatted, mapped geophysical visualisation; QGIS was applied mapping. We analyzed 2000 samples earthquake events obt...

S U M M A R Y In 2005 August, an unusual series of 47 earthquakes occurred over a 12-hr period in central Switzerland. The earthquakes occurred at the end of 3-d period of intensive rainfall, with over 300 mm of precipitation. The highest seismicity occurred as two distinct clusters in the region of Muotatal and Riemenstalden, Switzerland, a well-known Karst area that received a particularly la...

We estimate the rate of aftershocks triggered by a heterogeneous stress change, using the rate-and-state model of Dieterich [1994]. We show than an exponential stress distribution P (τ) ∼ exp(−τ/τ0) gives an Omori law decay of aftershocks with time ∼ 1/t, with an exponent p = 1−Aσn/τ0, where A is a parameter of the rate-and-state friction law, and σn the normal stress. Omori exponent p thus dec...

[1] We estimate the rate of aftershocks triggered by a heterogeneous stress change, using the rate-and-state model of Dieterich. We show that an exponential stress distribution Pt(t) exp( t/t0) gives an Omori law decay of aftershocks with time 1/t, with an exponent p = 1 Asn/t0, where A is a parameter of the rate-and-state friction law and sn is the normal stress. Omori exponent p thus decrease...

Global earthquake activity rate model 1 (GEAR1) estimates the rate of shallow earthquakes with magnitudes 6–9 everywhere on Earth. It was designed to be reproducible and testable. Our preferred hybrid forecast is a log–linear blend of two parent forecasts based on the Global Centroid Moment Tensor (CMT) catalog (smoothing 4602 m ≥5:767 shallow earthquakes, 1977–2004) and the Global Strain Rate ...

Iran is a country with high seismicity while Tehran, the capital city is home to more than 10 million people which are located on the highest seismic zone of the country. There exist 153 gas stations throughout the metropolitan which are constructed to old building codes with little or no attention to the seismic considerations. In this study which was supported by the National Oil Company, fir...

Iran is well known for having countless historical and instrumental records of tectonic events. Shahriary catchment, as a study area, is part of the Zagros collision seismic province. This research aimed to introduce a new method which is useful in identifying the relative active tectonic events of an area. The research method was designed in order to calculate the relative active tectonic inde...

Abstract Mapping the susceptibility of earthquake-induced soil liquefaction at continental scale is a challenge. Susceptibility soils to tendency certain geomaterials undergo severe stiffness degradation and loss shear strength. The latter could be induced by cyclic loading seismic events. surface evidence local phenomenon, detailed geotechnical field investigations are not available for region...