نتایج جستجو برای: term trend
تعداد نتایج: 691444 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In the current global economy, exchange rate forecasting is critical for investors and businesses seeking to make informed investment decisions manage risk. While many short-term methods exist, long-term are limited often fail account complex macroeconomic factors that influence trends. However, need have an analytically examined basis deciding invest, which requires knowing more about future v...
within the climate change debate and its probable impacts on water resources systems, design and operation of management plans based on the assumption of stationary hydrology may cause serious challenge to accurately predict future supplies. therefore this case study is trying to assess trend in hydroclimatic variables of karkheh rivers upstream by applying modified mann-kendall trend test on l...
the purpose of the present study is to compare the changes in b-value parameter using frequency-magnitude distribution for the data before and after the silakhor earthquake by gutenberg-richter relation. the variations of b-values are investigated using broadband iranian national seismic network center (bin). besides, spatial and time variations of the parameters were analyzed. the spatial vari...
BACKGROUND A previous study has suggested that drug price adjustments allow physicians in Taiwan to gain greater profit by prescribing generic drugs. To better understand the effect of price adjustments on physician choice, this study used renin-angiotensin drugs (including angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors [ACEIs] and angiotensin receptor blockers [ARBs]) to examine the impact of price ...
todays, the world development is facing serious water quality issues. since protect of water quality and ecosystem healthy is an important aspect of ecohydrology. the present research aimed to analyze the temporal trends of water quality parameters of mashin zard river station in order to planning long term management approaches. in this research, trend of some significant factors of water qual...
[1] We conducted 228-year long, three-member ensemble simulations using a high resolution (60 km grid size) global atmosphere model, MRI-AGCM3.2, with prescribed sea surface temperature and greenhouse gases and aerosols from 1872 to 2099. We found a clear decreasing trend of global tropical cyclone (TC) frequency throughout the 228 years of the simulation. We also found a significant multidecad...
This is anOp Abstract – A recently proposed self-consistent approach to the analysis of thermospheric and ionospheric long-term trends has been applied to Rome ionosonde summer noontime observations for the (1957–2015) period. This approach includes: (i) a method to extract ionospheric parameter long-term variations; (ii) a method to retrieve from observed foF1 neutral composition (O, O2, N2), ...
We decompose the term structure of expected equity returns into (1) the real short rate, (2) a premium for holding real long-term bonds, or the real duration premium, the excess returns of nominal long-term bonds over real bonds which reflects (3) expected inflation and (4) inflation risk, and (5) a real cashflow risk premium, which is the excess return of equity over nominal bonds. The shape o...
Considering that the interbank market is considered as a night market to provide short-term liquidity to banks, one of the most important risks in this market - due to the short-term nature of transactions in this market - is systemic risk. Exercising this risk cycle will have devastating effects on monetary policymakers, such as the 2007-2009 crisis. In this study, first, the buffer capital ...
Significant decline in the slope of short-term oil supply and demand curves, along with the meaningful change in the degree of risk aversion in arbitrageurs encouraged us to test the time-varying effects of speculative demand on crude oil price dynamics over the period 1985-2016. Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model – with structural shocks identified by Killian ...
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