flow river forecasting plays an important role in designing, management, and utilization of water resources. the main object of the research is to study the possibility of forecasting and monitoring the northern karon rivers (armand and bazfat) discharge by using modern simulation methods. in this research, armand and bazoft discharge variations was investigated. in this regard, monthly data of...

The impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on United States tornadoes has been a controversial topic in the last 15 years. Widely varied and contradicting conclusions exist regarding the topic, especially when attempting to correlate shifts in location of tornadoes to ENSO phase. For instance, Hagemeyer (1998) noted a tendency toward stronger, more frequent tornadoes in Florida during El...

TheWalker circulation is linked to extratropical waves that are deflected from theNorthernHemisphere polar regions and travel southeastward over central Asia toward the western Pacific warm pool during northern winter. The wave pattern resembles the east Atlantic–west Russia pattern and influences the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region. A tripole pattern between theWest Siberian Plain a...

[1] In this study, using the nonlinear principal analysis (NLPCA) technique, we demonstrated that the leading El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) mode in a physical basis changed since the late 1970s. The ENSO mode during the pre-1980s resembles the destabilized ‘ocean basin mode’, while during the post-1980s does ‘the recharge-mode’. In particular, for the pre-1980s, the surface zonal current ...

Recently, it was reported that the relationship of the Indian southwest monsoon rainfall with El Niño– Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has weakened since around 1980. Here, it is reported that in contrast, the relationship between ENSO and the northeast monsoon (NEM) in south peninsular India and Sri Lanka from October to December has not weakened. The mean circulation associated with ENSO over thi...

We present a set of Porites coral oxygen isotope records from the tropical and subtropical Western Indian Ocean covering the past 120-336 years. All records were thoroughly validated for proxy response to regional climate factors and their relation to large-scale climate modes. The records show markedly different imprints of regional climate factors. At the same time, all coral records show cle...

We evaluate links between climate and simulated river bank erosion for one of the world's largest rivers, the Mekong. We employ a process-based model to reconstruct multidecadal time series of bank erosion at study sites within the Mekong's two main hydrological response zones, defining a new parameter, accumulated excess runoff (AER), pertinent to bank erosion. We employ a hydrological model t...

The effects of amplitude and type of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on sea surface temperature (SST) predictability on a global scale were investigated, by examining historical climate forecasts for the period 1982-2006 from air-sea coupled seasonal prediction systems. Unlike in previous studies, SST predictability was evaluated in different phases of ENSO and for episodes with various...

Two hybrid coupled models (HCMs), an intermediate complexity dynamical ocean model coupled to either a nonlinear neural network atmosphere (NHCM) or a linear regression atmosphere (LHCM), have been developed for the tropical Pacific. The ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) characteristics of the two coupled models were investigated. The results show that the NHCM can produce more realistic ENSO...