The purpose of this note is to complete the estimates made in Auberger (2012) for French presidential elections. We study the influence of the local unemployment on the vote for French presidential elections. We build another variable taking into account the responsibility of the incumbent President for the economic situation after a cohabitation period. We also make estimates for the second-ro...

We conducted surveys before and after the 2012 U.S. Presidential election and prior to the NY City Mayoral election in 2013. The surveys were done using Amazon Turk. This poster describes the results of our analysis of the surveys and predicts the winner of the NY City Mayoral Election.

This study is aimed to propose a prediction method of election results using discrimination of non-respondents. CHAID algorithm is used for the purpose. We use the 1997 Korea presidential election forecasting survey data for the example.

The current study considered the influence of the 2008 presidential election on the racial identity of African American college students (M(age) = 19.3 years; 26.3% male). The design of the study consisted of 2 components: longitudinal and daily. The longitudinal component assessed 3 dimensions of racial identity (centrality, private regard, and public regard) 2 weeks before and 5 months after ...

The Wrong Man is President! Overvotes in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida Using ballot-level data from the NORC Florida ballots project and ballot-image files, I argue that overvoted ballots in the 2000 presidential election in Florida included more than 50,000 votes that were intended to go to either Bush or Gore but instead were discarded. The primary reason for this was defective el...

In 2008, when fresh-faced presidential candidate Barack Obama coasted to electoral victory, it was clear that the world had ended. Flabbergastingly, in an insane display of misjudgment, the American people had elected to office a president who, according to one prominent GOP member, would 'pal around with terrorists,' a president whose socialistic temperaments signaled the dawn of a new and dar...

Voting machine failures stood front and center in the recount of the 2000 presidential election vote in Florida. The election dispute between George Bush and Al Gore exposed problems in the absentee and registration systems, in the management of polling places, and even in the definition of a vote in Florida’s law. However, a single image captured the heart of the election controversy: Judge Ro...

In the 2012 US Presidential election, America's health-care policies remain hotly disputed. But the issue of drugs and addiction, formerly a prominent public and health concern, is now largely invisible in national political debates. Its public health importance is overlooked in favour of the continued criminalisation and punishment of drug users. Once the war on drugs was centre stage in natio...

There is scant evidence that incidental cues in the environment significantly alter people's political judgments and behavior in a durable way. We report that a brief exposure to the American flag led to a shift toward Republican beliefs, attitudes, and voting behavior among both Republican and Democratic participants, despite their overwhelming belief that exposure to the flag would not influe...