A temperature prediction method of Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor (IGBT) module based on autoregressive moving average model is proposed. Historical and current temperature datum of IGBT module is indispensable to the ARMA method, temperature time series is obtained by uniform sampling, and autoregressive (AR) model is constructed. Temperature time series prediction of IGBT module is realize...

the classical method of process capability analysis necessarily assumes that collected data are independent; nonetheless, some processes such as biological and chemical processes are autocorrelated and violate the independency assumption. many processes exhibit a certain degree of correlation and can be treated by autoregressive models among which the autoregressive model of order one (ar (1)) ...

This paper analyses identification for multivariate unobserved components models in which the innovations to trend and cycle are correlated. We address order and rank criteria as well as potential non-uniqueness of the reduced-form VARMA model. Identification is shown for lag lengths larger than one in case of a diagonal vector autoregressive cycle. We also discuss UC models with common feature...

Article history: In this paper international c Accepted 4 September 2008

In this study we want to analyze effects of change in exchange rates on the export, import, product prices and others macroeconomic variables. The method which has been used in this study is based on co integration method and vector autoregressive method. In this study first the long-term relationships between variables are determined and then the short-term relationship between variables will ...