Author Contact: David E. Giles, Dept. of Economics, University of Victoria, P.O. Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, B.C., Canada V8W 2Y2; e-mail: [email protected]; Phone: (250) 721-8540; FAX: (250) 721-6214 Abstract By noting that the Hodrick-Prescott filter can be expressed as the solution to a particular regression problem, we are able to show how to construct confidence bands for the filtered time-s...

This paper studies the usefulness of the P-model in the analysis of the behaviour of prices in Iranian economy. The P-model is based on the Quantity of Theory of Money. This model believes that the price level tends to move towards the equilibrium price level. The model uses price gap to forecast inflation, if the equilibrium price is greater than the current price, there is a tendency for the ...