نتایج جستجو برای: logistic smooth transition autoregressive

تعداد نتایج: 490919  

2011
Tzu-Hao Kuo Chun-Yu Tsai Kai-Yin Cheng Bing-Yu Chen

In this paper, a new smooth slideshow transition effect, Sewing Photos, is proposed while considering both of smooth content transition and smooth camera motion. Comparing to the traditional photo browsing and displaying work, which all focused on presenting splendid visual effects, Sewing Photos emphasizes on the smooth transition process between photos while taking the photo contents into acc...

2005
Joseph K.W. Fung Philip Yu

This study examines empirically with complete transaction records of index futures and of the index stocks, as well as the bid/ask price quotes of the latter, the impact of stock market order imbalance on the dynamic behavior of index futures and the underlying cash index. The study purges spurious correlation in the index by using an estimate of the “true” index with highly synchronous and act...

1998
Michel Lubrano

This paper proposes a new kind of asymmetric GARCH where the conditional variance obeys two diierent regimes with a smooth transition function. In one formulation, the conditional variance reacts diierently to negative and positive shocks while in a second formulation, small and big shocks have separate eeects. The introduction of a threshold allows for a mixed eeect. A Bayesian strategy, based...

2013
Rafiqul I. Chowdhury M. Ataharul Islam Shahariar Huda Laurent Briollais

Covariate dependent Markov models dealing with estimation of transition probabilities for higher orders appear to be restricted because of over-parameterization. An improvement of the previous methods for handling runs of events by expressing the conditional probabilities in terms of the transition probabilities generated from Markovian assumptions was proposed using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation...

2014
Atsushi Sekine Takayuki Tsuruga

Since the 2000s, large fluctuations in commodity prices have become a concern among policymakers regarding price stability. This paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on headline inflation with a monthly panel consisting of 144 countries. We find that the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation virtually disappear within about one year after the shock. While the effect...

2008
Ralf Brüggemann Jana Riedel

We empirically analyze Taylor-type equations for short-term interest rates in the United Kingdom using quarterly data from 1970Q1 to 2006Q2. Starting from strong evidence against a simple linear Taylor rule, we model nonlinearities using logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) models. The LSTR models with time varying parameters consistently track actual interest rate movements better than...

Journal: :Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 2012
Reiichiro Kawai Hiroki Masuda

We investigate transition law between consecutive observations of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of infinite variation with tempered stable stationary distribution. Thanks to the Markov autoregressive structure, the transition law can be written in the exact sense as a convolution of three random components; a compound Poisson distribution and two independent tempered stable distributions, one wi...

2017
Paul Rippon John Rayner J.C.W. Rayner

The smooth testing approach described in [2] has been used to develop a test of the distributional assumption for generalized linear models. Application of the test to help assess Poisson and logistic regression models is discussed. Power is compared to other common tests.

Journal: :International Review of Financial Analysis 2022

This study examines the effects of unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) by major central banks, namely Bank England (BOE), Japan (BOJ), European Central (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed), on international financial markets, taking global spillovers policy interaction into account. To this end, we applied Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model to 35 countries/economies one region for period ...

Journal: : 2021

The unit root test proposed by Ranjbar et al. (2018) was examined for an alternative of stationary asymmetric exponential smooth transition autoregressive (AESTAR) under structural breaks. situation that stands out as a deficiency in the mentioned study model does not includes zero-mean structure taken into account. On contrary, features should also had been explained. Because time-varying dete...

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