In this paper we use four main dimensions: Vulnerability, Human Behaviour, Hazards and Expected Utility to analyze their impact in scenario planning when cross-matched with Human Development Adjusted, Gender Inequality and Multidimensional Poverty Indexes within flood risk management strategies. We argue that the four dimensions are among the central factors behind the poor quality of life. Hen...

Financial decision making involves uncertainty and consequently risk. It is well known that asset return forecasts and risk estimates are inherently inaccurate. The inaccuracy in forecasting and estimation can be addressed through the specification of rival scenarios. In this paper, we extend the multi-period mean-variance portfolio optimization and asset liability management problems to the ro...

This thesis explores the application of scenario planning to regional strategic transportation planning (RSTP). Like all strategic planning, RSTP takes place in the presence of uncertainty, requiring flexibility and systematic thinking. The work presented builds on that of Mufioz in his application of scenarios to Mendoza, Argentina and the Cooperative Mobility Program ReS/SITE team's scenario-...

Environmental targets are often used in planning for sustainable agricultural landscapes but their impacts are rarely known. In this paper we introduce landscape futures analysis as a method which combines linear programming optimisation with scenario analysis in quantifying the environmental, economic, and social impacts associated with achieving environmental targets, on a landscape scale. We...

This paper describes a representation of the legal framework in the air transport passenger's rights domain and the foremost incidents that trigger the top of consumer complaints ranking in the EU. It comprises the development of a small network of three ontologies, formalisation of scenarios, specification of properties and identification of relations. The approach is illustrated by means of a...

Water resources management models are widely used to evaluate planning or operational scenarios to support water resource management decision-making. However, the approaches to modelling used in the past have led to problems, such as modellers having difficulty establishing the credibility of their model with stakeholders, and stakeholders having difficulty understanding and trusting model resu...

We document a two-year transdisciplinary project on the transition management processes of regional clusters in textile, timber, and dairy industries in the Swiss canton of Appenzell Ausserrhoden. This canton is a rural prealpine area, which has been historically shaped by traditional industries and which lies in the vicinity of St Gallen in the Greater Zu« rich Area. Scientists and regional st...

This study focuses on the role of traveller information and associated technologies in supporting personal security in travel by public transport. It reports research undertaken via a workshop involving SWOT analysis and scenario planning and a series of expert interviews. These research activities created a baseline understanding of how personal security issues are currently addressed, and ide...