Abstract This paper tries to offer a descriptive account of the normative workings evaluative fallacy charges directed narratives. In order do that, I first defend continuity and mutual dependence, as based on dynamical conception argument, between ‘belief conception’ ‘argumentative fallacy. Then, construe catalogue ‘fallacy charges’ both such variety counterarguments explored by theoretical fr...

We demonstrate that lottery players can be influenced to believe erroneously in the existence of “hot” numbers, where past winning numbers are perceived to have a greater probability of winning in future draws, even though past and the future events are independent. The existence of this “hot-hand” effect in lottery games is surprising, as works by Clotfelter and Cook (1993) and Terrell (1994) ...