نتایج جستجو برای: streamflow forecasting

تعداد نتایج: 45704  

2010
S. A. Archfield R. M. Vogel

[1] Daily streamflow time series are critical to a very broad range of hydrologic problems. Whereas daily streamflow time series are readily obtained from gaged catchments, streamflow information is commonly needed at catchments for which no measured streamflow information exists. At ungaged catchments, methods to estimate daily streamflow time series typically require the use of a reference st...

2017
Bin Li Changyou Li Jianyu Liu Qiang Zhang Limin Duan Xixi Wang

Decreased streamflow of the Yellow River basin has become the subject of considerable concern in recent years due to the critical importance of the water resources of the Yellow River basin for northern China. This study investigates the changing properties and underlying causes for the decreased streamflow by applying streamflow data for the period 1960 to 2014 to both the Budyko framework and...

2007
X. Zhang R. Srinivasan F. Hao

This article assesses the effect of potential future climate change on streamflow in the Luohe River basin. The predicted future climate change by two SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) climate change scenarios (A2 and B2) and two general circulation models (HadCM3 and CGCM2) were applied. SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), a physically based distributed hydrological model, was ca...

2015
Xuezhi Tan Thian Yew Gan

Climate change exerts great influence on streamflow by changing precipitation, temperature, snowpack and potential evapotranspiration (PET), while human activities in a watershed can directly alter the runoff production and indirectly through affecting climatic variables. However, to separate contribution of anthropogenic and natural drivers to observed changes in streamflow is non-trivial. Her...

2013
Shanlei Sun Haishan Chen Weimin Ju Jie Song Hao Zhang Jie Sun Yujie Fang

Hydrological processes depend directly on climate conditions [e.g., precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PE)] based on the water balance. This paper examines streamflow datasets at four hydrological stations and meteorological observations at 79 weather stations to reveal the streamflow changes and underlying drivers in four typical watersheds (Meigang, Saitang, Gaosha, and Xiashan) wit...

2016
Naoki Mizukami Michael B. Smith

Analysis of inconsistencies in multi-year gridded quantitative precipitation estimate over complex terrain and its impact on hydrologic modeling" (2012). s u m m a r y It is common that bias trends of long term precipitation data change over time due to various factors such as gauge relocation and changes in data processing methods. Temporal consistency of this error characteristic of precipita...

2013
R. Alkama

This paper assesses the detectability of changes in global streamflow. First, a statistical detection method is applied to observed (no missing data which represent 42 % of global discharge) and reconstructed (gaps are filled in order to cover a larger area and about 60 % of global discharge) streamflow. Observations show no change over the 1958–1992 period. Further, an extension to 2004 over t...

2005
Katrina Grantz Balaji Rajagopalan Martyn Clark Edith Zagona

Water managers throughout the Western U.S. depend on seasonal forecasts to assist with operations and planning. In this study, we develop a seasonal forecasting model to aid water resources decision-making in the Truckee-Carson River System. We analyze large-scale climate information that has a direct impact on our basin of interest to develop predictors to spring runoff. The predictors are sno...

2007
Jasper A. Vrugt Bruce A. Robinson

[1] Predictive uncertainty analysis in hydrologic modeling has become an active area of research, the goal being to generate meaningful error bounds on model predictions. State-space filtering methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), have shown the most flexibility to integrate all sources of uncertainty. However, predictive uncertainty analyses are typically carried out using a sing...

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