This paper applies the Model Confidence Set (MCS) procedure of Hansen, Lunde, and Nason (2003) to a set of volatility models. A MCS is analogous to confidence interval of a parameter in the sense that the former contains the best forecasting model with a certain probability. The key to the MCS is that it acknowledges the limitations of the information in the data. The empirical exercise is base...

the major challenge facing iranian economy is its overwhelming dependence on the oil exports. however, the world oil price has been subject to a lot of shocks, which have destabilized the iranian terms of trade. hence, this paper empirically examines the effect of terms of trade volatility on iran’s economic growth over 1967-2006. for this purpose, based on a garch model, a proxy for the terms ...

in this paper we investigated effect of economic uncertainty on money demand function of iran during(1352-1386). at first by using a general equilibrium theory it is shown that in spite of the existence of economic uncertainties, most of agents who are risk-averse consider these uncertainties when constitute their port folio. they consider money demand is a function of income, interest rate and...

Abstract. This paper summarizes the arguments and counter-arguments in scholarly debates on transformations healthcare budgeting that should consider differentiated regional vulnerability responding to pandemic. The primary purpose of study is identify priorities for local health development programs. urgency solving this problem pandemic has revealed unprecedented unpreparedness care system re...

In this study, New Zealand and Finland are examined by Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for the relationship between coal consumption economic growth. For growth relationship, Kuznets curve is investigated period 1980 2015 2013. Results of study show that confirmed Finland. Hao et al. (2016) as in This contributes to current literature verifying Coal also not these countries before. ...

A well known difficulty in estimating conditional moment restrictions is that the parameters of interest need not be globally identified by the implied unconditional moments. In this paper, we propose an approach to constructing a continuum of unconditional moments that can ensure parameter identifiability. These unconditional moments depend on the “instruments” generated from a “generically co...

The paper introduces a novel approach to testing for unit roots in panels. Following Chang and Park (2004), the approach takes a new contour that is drawn along the line given by the equi-squared-sum instead of the traditional one given by the equi-sample-size. As we show in the paper, the distributions of the unit root tests based on nonlinear IV t-ratios (which includes the Dickey-Fuller test...

his study attempts to examine the empirical relationship between gasoline taxes (as the most effective energy carrier of emissions) and labor productivities in the case of Iran using the time series data for the period 1990-2015  usingthe autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. This research tests the interrelationship between the variables using the bounds testing to cointegration proc...

We show that the power of the KPSS-test against integration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic under the alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used. This is in stark contrast to residual based tests of the null of integration in a cointegration setting, where power is drastically reduced when residuals are used....