نتایج جستجو برای: assessing uncertainty of climate change models
تعداد نتایج: 21306544 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
❏ A variety of methods are required to assess the potential impacts of climate change on human health, including: spatial analogue studies, predictive modelling (biological models or empirical-statistical models) and expert judgement. ❏ Climate impact and adaptation assessments should incorporate the following steps: selecting the most appropriate climate and socio-economic scenarios; validatio...
تأثیر تغییر اقلیم بر درجه حرارت حوضه آبریز زایندهرود با استفاده از محاسبات نرم یادگیری ماشینی بیزین
This study aims to investigate the changes of minimum and maximum temperature variables under the impact of climate change for time period of 2015-2100 in the Zayandeh-Rud River Basin. The outputs of 14 Global Climate Models (GCMs) under three green-house emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) are employed from the Fifth Assessment Report (CMIP5) of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate C...
Climate projections simulated by Global Climate Models (GCMs) are often used for assessing the impacts of climate change. However, the relatively coarse resolutions of GCM outputs often preclude their application to accurately assessing the effects of climate change on finer regional-scale phenomena. Downscaling of climate variables from coarser to finer regional scales using statistical method...
Radiatively active trace gases such as CO2, methane, nitrous oxide and chlorofluorocarbons warm the surface-troposphere system by iru~reasing the infrared opacity of the atmosphere. Climate models have been used to estiimate the warming associated with future increases in these gases. An important issue is the sensitivity, or the amount of climate response associated with a given amount of radi...
Economy-wide and hydrological-crop models are combined to estimate and compare the economic impacts of current climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, simulation results indicate that, on average, current variability reduces gross domestic product by four percent over a ten-year period and pulls over two percent of the population below ...
Economy-wide and hydrological-crop models are combined to estimate and compare the economic impacts of current climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, simulation results indicate that, on average, current variability reduces gross domestic product by four percent over a ten-year period and pulls over two percent of the population below ...
Global climate change appears to be one of the main threats to biodiversity in the near future and is already affecting the distribution of many species. Currently threatened species are a special concern while the extent to which they are sensitive to climate change remains uncertain. Przewalski's gazelle (Procapra przewalskii) is classified as endangered and a conservation focus on the Qingha...
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