Working papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded offi cial Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views stated herein are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Ban...

Abstract Causality is an important element in decision-making and interventions are required to optimize results of target values. In this paper, based on the model Causal Bayesian Optimization, a counter-noise version acquisition function proposed new prior estimation algorithms including Support Vector Regression, Ridge Regression Random Forest evaluated. This paper provides improved framewor...