In this study, the latest release of all available Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models with two future scenarios Shared Socio-Economic Pathways, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, over period 2015–2100 are utilized in diagnosing extremes Türkiye. Coarse-resolution were downscaled to a 0.1° × (~9 km) spatial resolution using European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts...

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES Rainfall in western sub-Saharan Africa is related to seasonal shifts of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone, which moves northward early in the year, retreating in the second half of the year. The objective of the present study was to determine significant relationships between onset and retreat timing and climate indices. The relationship between timing and malaria case...

Total column ozone is used to trace the dynamics of the lower and middle stratosphere which is governed by planetary waves. In order to analyse the planetary wave activity a Harmonic Analysis is applied to global multi-year total ozone observations from the Total Ozone Monitoring Spectrometer (TOMS). As diagnostic variables we introduce the hemispheric ozone variability indices one and two. The...

A wide range of infectious diseases may change their geographic range, seasonality and incidence due to climate change, but there is limited research exploring health vulnerabilities to climate change. In order to address this gap, pan-European vulnerability indices were developed for 2035 and 2055, based upon the definition vulnerability = impact/adaptive capacity. Future impacts were projecte...

The assessment of climate change impacts on biodiversity has so far been biased toward the taxonomic identification of the species likely either to benefit from climate modifications or to experience overall declines. There have still been few studies intended to correlate the characteristics of species to their sensitivity to climate change, even though it is now recognized that functional tra...

Scientific challenges exist on how to extract information from thewide range of projected impacts simulated by cropmodels driven by climate ensembles. A stronger focus is required to understand and identify themechanisms and drivers of projected changes in crop yield. In this study, we investigate the robustness of future projections offivemetrics relevant to agriculture stakeholders (accumulat...

A climate-induced phenological mismatch between the timing of reproduction and the timing of food resource peaks is one of the key hypothesized effects of climate change on wildlife. Though supported as a mechanism of population decline in birds, few studies have investigated whether the same temperature increases that drive this mismatch have the potential to decrease energetic costs of growth...