The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) aims to advance earthquake research by rigorous testing of earthquake forecast hypotheses. As in other disciplines, such hypothesis testing requires carefully designed experiments that meet certain requirements: they should be reproducible, fully transparent, and conducted within a controlled environment. CSEP has begun buildin...

Severe soil liquefaction due to a long duration earthquake with low acceleration occurred at Tokyo Bay area in the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake. This phenomenon clearly shows that soil liquefaction is affected by properties of input waves. This paper describes effect of wave properties of earthquake on liquefaction using effective stress analysis with some earthquakes. Analyt...

Understanding the origin of stress drop fault gouges may offer deeper insights into many geophysical processes such as earthquakes. Microslips sheared granular were found to be precursors large slip events, but documented relation between microslips and macroscopic drops remains largely qualitative. This study aims quantitatively connect fluctuations, including both recharges drops. We examine ...

INTRODUCTION In recent years, several massive earthquakes have occurred across the globe. Multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) is reliable in detecting spinal injuries. The purpose of this study was to compare the features of spinal injuries resulting from the Sichuan earthquake with those of non-earthquake-related spinal trauma using MDCT. METHODS Features of spinal injuries of 223 Sichu...

Collisions between birds and aircraft (bird strikes) are expensive, risk human lives, and increase bird mortality. Aircraft lighting has been proposed as a potential means of enhancing avian responses to aircraft. Determining the optimal changes to lighting to reduce bird strikes is a complicated problem because avian visual systems differ markedly from that of humans. Icteridae, including Brow...

Steering traffic in cities is a very complex task, since improving efficiency involves the coordination of many actors. Traditional approaches attempt to optimize traffic lights for a particular density and configuration of traffic. The disadvantage of this lies in the fact that traffic densities and configurations change constantly. Traffic seems to be an adaptation problem rather than an opti...

Discrete time-varying autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are used to describe realistic earthquake ground motion time histories. Both amplitude and frequency nonstationarities are incorporated in the model. An iterative Kalman filtering scheme is introduced to identify the time-varying parameters of an ARMA model from an actual earthquake record. Several model verification tests are pe...