Exposure and adoption of opinions in social networks are important questions in education, business, and government. We describe a novel application of ubiquitous computing based on using mobile phone sensors to measure and model the face-to-face interactions and subsequent opinion changes of undergraduates during the US presidential election campaign. We find that self-reported political discu...

We present a novel method to study the tendencies of vote in sectorial democratic elections. Our method is intended to determine the relevant profiles characterizing the political behavior of voters. Those profiles allow us to model how the voters, in a specific election organized by sectors, make their vote decision. Furthermore, the same set of profiles are used for representing the different...

collapse of egyptian‘s old system and mubarak’s 30 years government, was making the hopes in the mind of revolutionaries that goals of revolution will be available.holding free election was one of these goals that with electing mohammed morsi from muslim brotherhoods for presidential office was accomplished. however, after a year, the elected president mohammed morsi was faced with the protests...

This paper provides an interpretation of the uncertainty that exists at the beginning of the day of an election as to who will win. It is based on the theory that there are a number of possible conditions of nature that can exist on election day, of which one is drawn. Political betting markets like Intrade provide a way of trying to estimate this uncertainty. It is argued that polling standard...

This study explores relationship between the Internet and the Russian national election of 20112012. In contrast to other studies, we focus on the blogosphere as a political factor. Our conclusions are based on a study of the LiveJournal blogging platform represented by a sample of political posts from the top 2000 bloggers for 13 week-long periods. Sampling from the population of about 180,000...

Election surveys have several purposes, including forecasting election outcomes and studying the distribution of votes as they vary over geographic, demographic, and political variables. Bayesian methods can be useful in the design and analysis of election surveys, with the details depending on speciic features of the data collection and goals of inference. In many cases, the natural Bayesian a...

and Bradford?five of them marginal, and all with large immigrant settlements. Through the eyes of six contributors it studies the way in which each candidate conducted his campaign. It also concerns itself with the political involvement of the immigrants and with the effect of their presence on the voting of the native population and on the tactics of the political parties. Because of the polit...

Since the United States presidential election of 2000, political campaigns have deployed volunteer lawyers to provide real-time information and assistance to poll observers. To assist with the routing of these rapid response attorneys (RRAs) among polling locations, we formulate two optimization models to equitably and efficiently allocate volunteer resources. We propose heuristic solution proc...

In Indonesia, one of the regencies/cities that have carried out Regional Head Election is Kuantan Singingi Regency, which was on September 9, 2020, but number voters has decreased. This problem related to health, economy and human resources. Public political participation in general can be categorized several forms, namely; election activities, trying influence, organizational seeking connectio...