A calculator program has been written to give confidence intervals on branching ratios for rare decay modes (or similar quantities) calculated from the number of events observed, the acceptance factor, the background estimate and the associated errors. Results from different experiments (or different channels from the same experiment) can be combined. The calculator is available in http://www.s...

The authors propose a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the expectation θ of a Poisson random variable. The interval they obtain cannot be shortened without the infimum over θ of the coverage probability falling below 1 − α. In addition, the endpoints of the interval are strictly increasing functions of the observed variable. An easy-to-program algorithm is provided for comp...

In this short preliminary note I apply the methodology of gametheoretic probability to calculating non-asymptotic confidence intervals for the coefficient of a simple first order scalar autoregressive model. The most distinctive feature of the proposed procedure is that with high probability it produces confidence intervals that always cover the true parameter value when applied sequentially.