The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of bounded rationality on labour market dynamics. The model is based on a standard New Keynesian model that incorporates labour market search and matching frictions developed by Trigari (2006). During the bargaining process, wages and working hours are jointly determined by firms and workers. Expectations heterogeneity is introduced by assumin...

The smooth threshold autoregressive (STAR) model is by far the most successful model in explaining the well-known two PPP puzzles. The nonlinearity in STAR captures the nature of vast transaction costs in trade, sunk costs in (foreign) investment, and hetergeneity in agents. In this paper, we use a variant of STAR, the Exponential STAR (ESTAR), to study the exchange rate dynamics in China durin...

The paper examines the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in an open economy with and without a binding zero bound on nominal interest rates. In particular, a foolproof way of escaping from a liquidity trap is suggested, consisting of a price-level target path, a devaluation of the currency and a temporary exchange rate peg, which is later abandoned in favor of price-level or in‡ation ta...

We construct a two-country DSGE model with multiple stages of processing and localcurrency staggered price-setting to study cross-country quantity correlations driven by monetary shocks. The model embodies a mechanism that propagates a monetary surprise in the home country to lower the foreign price level while restraining the home price level from rising too quickly; and, it does so through re...

The paper studies a factor GARCH model and develops test procedures which can be used to test the number of factors needed to model the conditional heteroskedasticity in the considered time series vector. Assuming normally distributed errors the parameters of the model can be straightforwardly estimated by the method of maximum likelihood. Inefficient but computationally simple preliminary esti...

The instability of international financial markets, as exhibited by persistent periodic crises, is an important issue for all market participants. This paper presents an alternative agent-based network theory of financial crises derived from recent developments in complexity science, and applies it to short-term currency crises. The theory, despite being parsimonious, is capable of generating c...

This paper shows that high-frequency, irregularly-spaced, FX data can generate non-normality, conditional heteroskedasticity, and leptokurtosis when aggregated into fixed-interval, calendar time even when these features are absent in the original D.G.P. Furthermore, we introduce a new approach to modeling these high-frequency irregularly spaced data based on the Poisson regression model. The ne...

This paper investigates the presence and characteristics of arbitrage opportunities in the foreign exchange market using a unique data set for three major capital and foreign exchange markets that covers a period of more than seven months at tick frequency, obtained from Reuters on special order. We provide evidence on the frequency, size and duration of round-trip and one-way arbitrage opportu...

This study re-examines the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) by focusing on the real effective exchange rates (REERs) for the post-Bretton Woods period, using newly developed unit root tests that account for both nonlinearity and smooth temporary multiple breaks in the data. The tests are applied to the REERs of 23 developed countries and are able to reject the null hypothesis of a unit...

We describe an immunoassay for human pregnancyspecific f31-glycoprotein by use of fluorescein-labeled antibodies to this protein. The technique is generally similar to that of a “two-site” immunoradiometric assay but has the advantage of stability of tracer and avoidance of radiation hazard. However, the procedure requires relatively large quantities of antibody. Furthermore, the within-assay c...