The purpose of this paper is to implement theoretically, the observation that the relative importance of fundamental versus technical analysis in the foreign exchange market depends on the time horizon in currency trade. For shorter time horizons, more weight is placed on technical analysis, while more weight is placed on fundamental analysis for longer horizons. The theoretical framework is th...

I provide a micro-foundation for dynamically incomplete contracts that are renegotiated over time. The micro-foundation is based on showing that such contracts implement the optimal complete contract in a general dynamic model provided the players have “preference-for-robustness.” Preference-for-robustness is a way of modeling players perpetually having a fuzzy idea as time passes about events ...

The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system and the adoption of generalized ‡oating exchange rates ushered in a new era of exchange rate volatility and uncertainty. This increased volatility lead economists to search for economic models able to describe observed exchange rate behavior. The present is a technical Appendix to Cerrato et al. (2009) and presents detailed simulations of the proposed m...

Fixed-term contract employment has increasingly replaced regular open-ended employment as the predominant form of employment notably in developing countries. Guided by factory-level evidence showing nuanced patterns of co-movements of regular and contract wages, we propose a two-tiered task based model with self-enforcing contracts in which firms allocate complex tasks to long term employees at...

What explains the central role of dollar in world trade? Will US currency retain its dominant status future? This paper develops a quantitative general equilibrium framework with endogenous choice that can address these questions. Complementarities price setting and input-output linkages across firms generate complementarities making exporters coordinate on same invoicing. The is more likely to...

This paper explores the consequences of using supplier trade credit within a vertical relational contract. The downstream firm operates in an environment where shocks may make it unable to repay. The shocks are unobservable to the supplier, which creates an asymmetric information problem. Trade credit limits the supplier’s possibilities to punish the downstream firm and termination is used in e...

Contracts between Legal Persons Contract law and the economics of contract have, for the most part, developed independently of each other. In this essay, we briefly review the notion of a contract from the perspective of lawyer, and then use this framework to organize the economics literature on contract. The title, Contracts between Legal Persons, limits the review to that part of contract law...

This paper examines the role of carry trade and momentum trading strategies and their implications for the magnitude of the forward premium anomaly. The formal analysis uses a logistic smooth transition regression, with transition variables related to the di¤erent currency trading strategies. The hypothesis of uncovered interest parity is found to hold in an upper regime where carry trades appe...

The paper provides novel insights on the effect of a firm’s risk management objective on the optimal design of risk transfer instruments. I analyze the interrelation between the structure of the optimal insurance contract and the firm’s objective to minimize the required equity it has to hold to accommodate losses in the presence of multiple risks and moral hazard. In contrast to the case of ri...

Crude oil is considered as a major resource of any developing country it may be either Oil importing or exporting countries. The present study examines the relationship between Exchange rate, and Stock market returns. analyse monthly observations from 1 st April 2003 to 31 March 2019 with help Co integration, Granger causality, Variance Decomposition. overall findings indicate significant effec...