This paper uses the European Commission’s Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers’ responses to the survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB’s anchor for price stability. The convergence in inf...

The seminal work of Phelps, Taylor, and Cairo developed forwardlooking models of price determination that imparted inertia to the price leveh These models incorporate expectations of future prices and excess demand by imposing constraints (typically lag-lead symmetry constrainls) that force future variables to enter the specification. In this paper, I test the empirical significance of future p...

The price of a barrel of crude oil doubled within a few months last year. Although prices have been easing lately, for those who paid more than $3 for a gallon of gas, the memory is not likely to fade quickly. But worries about higher gas prices don’t end at the pump. Oil price shocks—sudden and sharp increases in the price of oil and its derivatives like gasoline—are associated in the popular ...

Since Friedman (1968), the traditional derivation of the accelerationist Phillips curve has related expected real wage inflation to the unemployment rate and then invoked markup pricing and adaptive expectations to generate the accelerationist price inflation equation. Blanchflower and Oswald (1994) have argued that microeconomic evidence of a low autoregression coefficient in real wage regress...

This paper studies intertemporal investment strategies under inflation risk by extending Merton’s intertemporal framework (1973) to include a stochastic price index. The stochastic price index gives rise to both real and nominal terms of valuation: agents maximize their utility of consumption in real terms while investment activities and wealth evolution are evaluated in nominal terms. We inclu...

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What is the seigniorage-maximizing level of inflation? Four models formulae for the seigniorage maximizing inflation rate (SMIR) are compared. Two sticky-price models arrive at very different quantitative recommendations although both predict somewhat lower SMIRs than Cagan’s formula and a variant of a .ex-price model due to Kimbrough (2006). The models differ markedly in how inflation distorts...

O ne of the goals of macroeconomics is to explain the aggregate sources of changes in goods' prices. If there was a single consumption good in the world, as is often assumed in models, describing the price changes of consumption would be a trivial matter. But, in reality, there are many goods and prices, and there is an important distinction between price changes that are equiproportional acros...

This paper compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves empirically considering inflation dynamics in eleven countries (the G7 and Scandinavia). We evaluate the models‘ abilities to match empirical second moments of inflation. Although overall model performance is similar, there is a strong systematic pattern in model performance by moment type. Sticky prices match unconditional...

health price inflation rate is different from increasing in health expenditures. health expenditures contain both quantity and prices but inflation rate contains prices. this study aimed to determine the factors that affect the inflation rate for health care services (ircpihc) in iran.we used central bank of iran data. we estimated the relationship between the inflation rate and its determinant...