This paper studies foreign exchange risk premium using the uncovered interest rate parity framework in a single country context. The analysis is performed using weekly data on foreign and domestic currency deposits in Armenian banking system. The paper provides the results of the simple tests of uncovered interest parity condition, which indicate that contrary to established view dominating in ...

There is reliable evidence that simple rules used by traders have some predictive value over the future movement of foreign exchange prices. This paper will review some of this evidence and discuss the economic magnitude of this predictability. The profitability of these trading rules will then be analyzed in connection with central bank activity using intervention data from the Federal Reserve...

This paper investigates the price returns and volatility linkages between the foreign exchange (KRW) and stock (KOSPI) markets in Korea, using the cointegration test, and bivariate GJR-GARCH model. Our findings from empirical analysis are summarized as follows. First, there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between the KRW and KOSPI markets. Second, exogenous variables (yen/dollar exchan...

T paper examines how different types of interactions with U.S. markets by non-U.S. firms are associated with higher levels of CEO pay, greater emphasis on incentive-based compensation, and smaller pay gaps with U.S. firms. Using a sample of CEOs of UK firms and using both broad cross-sectional and narrow eventwindow tests, we find that capital market relationship in the form of a U.S. exchange ...

This paper develops a stress-testing model to value defaultable bonds under stressful market conditions. Default occurs when some signaling process hits a pre-defined default barrier. The signaling variable is considered to be some macro-economic variables such as foreign exchange rates. The dynamics of the default barrier depends on the volatility and the drift of the signaling variable. We de...

In November 2014, OPEC announced a new strategy geared towards improving its market share. Oil-market analysts interpreted this as an attempt to squeeze higher-cost producers including US shale oil out of the market. Over the next year, crude oil prices crashed, with large repercussions for the global economy. We present a simple equilibrium model that explains the fundamental market factors th...