Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the leading causes of illness and death in the Western world and the second most common cause of cancer morbidity in Europe. Yet, if detected early, CRC is highly treatable. Good news has recently arrived from across the Atlantic, where decision analysis tools were employed to inform recommendation updates and ‘microsimulation modelling demonstrated that declin...

We propose an hybrid microsimulation and agent-based model of mobility integrating migration and residential mobility. We tested it on the evolution of the population of the Cantal, a French “département” with 150,000 inhabitants. We calibrated it using various data sources from 1990 to 2006, and tested its predictions on other data of the same period and on the period 20072012. The spatial het...

877 National Tax Journal Vol. LIII, No. 4, Part 1 Abstract This paper uses the MEDSIM health care microsimulation model developed by researchers at the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality to compute the magnitude and distribution of the tax subsidy for employment–related health insurance premiums. We also present estimates of the revenue gain that would be associated with a variety of ca...

This report presents Aspen. Sandia National Laboratories is developing this new agentbased macroeconomic simulation model of the U.S. economy. The model is notable because it allows a large number of individual economic agents to be modeled at a high level of detail and with a great degree of freedom. Some features of Aspen are (a) a sophisticated message-passing system that allows individual p...

A Continuous Labour Supply Model in Microsimulation: A Life-Cycle Modelling Approach with Heterogeneity and Uncertainty Extension This paper advances a structural inter-temporal model of labour supply that is able to simulate the dynamics of labour supply in a continuous setting and to circumvent two main drawbacks of most of the existing models. The first limitation is the inability to incorpo...

Exposure to extreme heat is an important cause of morbidity and mortality throughout the world. The elevation of temperatures and increases in extended periods of high temperatures due to climate change means that heat exposure as a health concern will increase. Thus, methodologies that researchers and practitioners can use to assess heat exposure among various population groups will become inc...

A set of very simple rules for driving behavior used to simulate roadway traac gives realistic results. Because of its simplicity, it is easy to implement the model on supercomputers (vectorizing and parallel), where we have achieved real time limits of more than 4 million kilometers (or more than 53 million vehicle sec/sec). The model can be used for applications where both high simulation spe...

In this paper, we introduce new capabilities to our existing microsimulation framework, Simulacron. These new capabilities add the modelling of behaviours based on motivations and improve our existing non-deterministic movement capacity. We then discuss the application of these new features to a simple, synthetic, proof of concept, scenario involving the transit of people through a corridor and...

In this note I pay tribute to two early works by Barbara Bergmann and Gunnar Eliasson which, though firmly grounded in the dynamic microsimulation literature, can be considered as the first examples of large-scale agent-based models. These attempts at building complete micro-to-macro computational models of the economy are important not only in a history of economic thought perspective, but als...