In this article we apply research in the field of judgment and decision making to the policy of preemption. We use Brunswik’s lens model to frame the policy of preemption as the integration of multiple fallible indicators under conditions of uncertainty. We use the Taylor-Russell diagram to demonstrate how the policy of preemption increases judgment uncertainty and error. The continuation of a ...

Many progressives around the world look at the United States and are repelled by its extremes of wealth and poverty, enormous military, massive prison population, excessive gun violence, inhumane welfare policies, reckless environmental destruction, and aggressive and self-interested foreign policy. US trade policies have contributed to impoverishment in many countries; US troops are stationed ...

The deployment of military forces abroad has been a major component of the United States’ grand strategy since the beginning of the Cold War. However, some scholars have argued that the presence of US military personnel abroad creates a series of negative externalities afflicting local communities. We put some of these claims to the test by looking at the effect of United States military deploy...

This paper provides a comparative historical analysis of the emergence, consolidation, and reform of the Chilean and Uruguayan welfare states. While until the 1970’s both countries built strikingly similar social protection systems, they subsequently advanced divergent strategies of reform, with Chile following the retrenchment path and Uruguay pursuing the maintenance avenue. My objective is t...

This paper contributes to the literature on the labor market consequences of unhealthy behaviors and poor health by examining a previously underappreciated consequence of the rise in obesity in the USA: challenges for military recruitment. Specifically, this paper estimates the percentage of the US military-age population that exceeds the US Army's current active duty enlistment standards for w...

Information Operations (IO) has become a primary war fighting capability and is now considered a military core competency. The military Services are establishing IO as a military career field equivalent to other war fighting fields and they are developing supporting education and training programs to create a pipeline of trained and experienced information operations warriors. Transforming doct...