In this paper the relationships between crude oil and refined product prices are investigated in a multivariate framework. This allows us to test several (partly competing) assumptions of earlier studies. In particular, we find that the crude oil price is weakly exogenous and that the spread is constant in some but not all relationships. Moreover, the multivariate analysis shows that the link b...

JEL classification: C65, D63, D71, D81 Mathematics Subject Classification (2000): 91B16

the ongoing study aims at a brief pathology on saving in iran's private sector. the factors effect on saving in private sector have been introduced, including oil revenues, real interest rate of banking long-term deposits, ratio of stocks transactions value to gross national production (gnp), proportion of employed population to total population, inflation rate and gini coefficient during ...

We consider the modelling of volatility on closely related markets. Univariate fractional Ž . volatility FIGARCH models are now standard, as are multivariate GARCH models. In this paper, we adopt a combination of the two methodologies. There is as yet little consensus on the methodology for testing for fractional cointegration. The contribution of this paper is to demonstrate the feasibility of...

This paper estimates a Structural Dynamic Factor Model on a panel of 102 US quarterly series. We model economic comovements by means of 5 underlying structural shocks (oil price, productivity, aggregate demand, monetary policy, and housing demand). The results of the benchmark model (impulse responses and variance decompositions) are in line with those predicted by economic theory and usually e...

Contracts often take the form of options: oil fields can be abandoned, planning permission may go unused, and acquired firms can be liquidated. We consider a seller who auctions a dynamic option among N agents. After the auction, the economy evolves and the winning bidder chooses both if and when to execute the option. The revenue-maximising auction consists of an up-front bid and a contingent ...

In April 2009 the US government unveiled its blueprint for a national network of high-speed passenger rail (HSR) lines aimed at reducing traffic congestion, cutting national dependence on foreign oil and improving rural and urban environments. In implementing such a program, it is essential to identify the factors that might influence decision making and the eventual success of the HSR project,...

The economic growth of a country is inseparable from the balance trade, mainly export and import activity. Globalization urges to actively socialize provide infrastructure facilities support productivity improve competitiveness in international market. Increasing commodity value affects trade reach surplus, increasing causes deficit. This study aims analyze Indonesia’s non-oil gas market concen...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C23 E44 Q43 Keywords: Crude oil shocks Stock market prices Panel data Asymmetric adjustment Granger causality This paper proposes a panel threshold cointegration approach to investigate the relationship between crude oil shocks and stock markets for the OECD and non-OECD panel from January 1995 to December 2009. Nonlinear cointegration is confirmed for ...

The performance of tax receipts in Italy during the period 1978-2006 is analysed through the relationship between the growth of revenue and the evolution of the macroeconomic framework. Series of actual tax receipts are adjusted to take account of discretionary measures, transformed into implicit tax rates, and then broken down into the structural components. A regression analysis of the trend ...