The predictive accuracy of a survival model can be summarized using extensions of the proportion of variation explained by the model, or R2, commonly used for continuous response models, or using extensions of sensitivity and specificity, which are commonly used for binary response models. In this article we propose new time-dependent accuracy summaries based on time-specific versions of sensit...

Studies of diagnostic accuracy require more sophisticated methods for their meta-analysis than studies of therapeutic interventions. A number of different, and apparently divergent, methods for meta-analysis of diagnostic studies have been proposed, including two alternative approaches that are statistically rigorous and allow for between-study variability: the hierarchical summary receiver ope...

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves play a central role in the evaluation of biomarkers and tests for disease diagnosis. Predictors for event time outcomes can also be evaluated with ROC curves, but the time lag between marker measurement and event time must be acknowledged. We discuss different definitions of time-dependent ROC curves in the context of real applications. Several app...

There are various methods to estimate the parameters in the binormal model for the ROC curve. In this paper, we propose a conceptually simple and computationally accessible Bayesian estimation method using a partial likelihood based on ranks. Posterior consistency is also established. We compare the new method with other estimation methods and conclude that our estimator generally performs bett...

In imaging tasks where the observer is uncertain whether lesions are present, and where they could be present, the image is searched for lesions. In the free-response paradigm, which closely reflects this task, the observer provides data in the form of a variable number of mark-rating pairs per image. In a companion paper a statistical model of visual search has been proposed that has parameter...

BACKGROUND Postpartum depression (PPD) could affect ~10% of women and impair the quality of mother-infant interactions. Currently, there are no objective methods to diagnose PPD. Therefore, this study was conducted to identify potential biomarkers for diagnosing PPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS Morning urine samples of PPD subjects, postpartum women without depression (PPWD) and healthy controls (H...

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis has recently come in vogue for assessing the underlying discriminability and the applied utility of lineup procedures. Two primary assumptions underlie recommendations that ROC analysis be used to assess the applied utility of lineup procedures: (a) ROC analysis of lineups measures underlying discriminability, and (b) the procedure that produces ...

Disease prevention is important and can be accomplished by developing diagnostic tests. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) are used to assess the accuracy of diagnostic tests. The assessment for the superiority between evaluating two diagnostic tests is needed when comparing two diagnostic tests. Existing tests are constructed by comparing t...

Pattern classification learning tasks are commonly used to explore learning strategies in human subjects. The universal and individual traits of learning such tasks reflect our cognitive abilities and have been of interest both psychophysically and clinically. From a computational perspective, these tasks are hard, because the number of patterns and rules one could consider even in simple cases...

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