In this paper we first introduce the general stochastic epidemic model for the spread of infectious diseases. Then we give methods for inferring model parameters such as the basic reproduction number R0 and vaccination coverage vc assuming different types of data from an outbreak such as final outbreak details and temporal data or observations from an ongoing outbreak. Both individual heterogen...

Enteroinvasive Escherichia coli (EIEC) outbreaks are uncommon in Europe. In June 2014, two EIEC outbreaks occurred in Nottingham, UK, within 2 days; outbreak A was linked to a takeaway restaurant and outbreak B to a wedding party. We conducted 2 analytical studies: a case-control study for outbreak A and a cohort study for outbreak B. We tested microbiological and environmental samples, includi...

The authors studied an outbreak of an acute form of European brown hare syndrome (EBHS) in captive hares. The farm involved had shown negative results in a previous serological test for EBHS conducted on approximately 8% of the animals. Hares which succumbed during the outbreak were submitted to an anatomo-pathological examination and the livers of these animals were collected for laboratory an...

no comparative uptake data are available to supplement our evaluation of the intervention. Information relating to the outbreak was placed in 2 Orthodox Jewish newspapers and targeted information for families (in English, Yiddish, and Hebrew) has been disseminated. Finally, all 25 HPTs were alerted to this outbreak and the national Public Health England database (HPZone) has been enhanced to ca...

Meningococcal disease is a serious and potentially life-threatening infection that is caused by the bacterium Neisseria meningitidis (N. meningitidis), and it can cause meningitis, meningococcaemia outbreaks and epidemics. The disease is fatal in 9-12% of cases and with a death rate of up to 40% among patients with meningococcaemia. The objective of this study was to estimate the costs of a men...

BACKGROUND The current West African outbreak of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) began in Guinea in December 2013 and rapidly spread to Liberia and Sierra Leone. On 20 July 2014, a sick individual flew into Lagos, Nigeria, from Monrovia, Liberia, setting off an outbreak in Lagos and later in Port Harcourt city. The government of Nigeria, supported by the World Health Organization and other partner...

BACKGROUND An outbreak of tuberculosis occurred over a 3-year period in a medium-size community in British Columbia, Canada. The results of mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable-number tandem-repeat (MIRU-VNTR) genotyping suggested the outbreak was clonal. Traditional contact tracing did not identify a source. We used whole-genome sequencing and social-network analysis in an effor...

abstract the oak leafroller moth , tortrix viridana l. is a destructive pest within it’s spreading area which invades the oak species, especially in west and northwest forests of iran, in recent years. some parts of west azarbayjan’s forests which are located in piranshahr and sardasht region have been affected by this pest since 1989 that oak trees vigor and survival have been gone down result...

Extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (EPKP) strains are frequently implicated in outbreaks in neonatal units. From April 2002 to January 2003, 149 neonates were colonized/infected with EPKP in the Neonatal Clinic of the Teaching Hospital at the Medical University of Gdańsk, Poland. A novel assay based on suppression of PCR, ADSRRS-fingerprinting, was successfu...

This study investigates the potential impacts of food safety outbreaks on domestic shipments, imports, and prices of the produce industry. Three case studies were analyzed to assess these potential impacts: the cantaloupe outbreak of March–April 2008, the spinach outbreak of September 2006, and the tomato outbreak of June–July 2008. Data-determined historical decompositions were conducted to pr...