This paper investigates whether the Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argument on domestic saving-investment relationship is supported by the data of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region when the financial development levels and exchange rate regimes are taken into account. To this end, we employ both the ARDL bounds cointegration test and panel mean group procedures. The ...

This study investigates the causal nexus between public expenditure and economic growth in India using cointegration approach and error correction model. The analysis was carried out over the period 1973 to 2012. The Cointegration test result confirms the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in India. The empirical results based on the er...

A new approach to cointegration developed by Enders et al. (Cointegration tests using instrumental variables with an example of the U.K. demand for money. Unpublished working paper. http://wenders.people.ua.edu/time-seriesmethods.html, 2008) is applied to long-span, high-frequency data to test for purchasing power parity in the Mexico–US real exchange rate. Overall the empirical results suggest...

Testing and Identifying Structural Change in a Cointegration Regression Jae-Young Kim 1 Department of Economics SUNY-Albany Albany, NY 12222 January 1996 Abstract This paper studies how to detect structural change in a cointegrated system under the situation of the change period being unknown. A general type of structural change is considered that causes the failure of an initial cointegration ...

Many researchers have used a cointegration approach to test for the Fisher effect. This note argues that the cointegration of the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate is consistent with any theory implying a stationary real interest rate and so is not a sufficient condition for ex post the Fisher effect to hold. The sufficient condition is the unpredictability of the inflation forecast ...

We derive a de nition of linear cointegration for nonlinear stochastic processes using a martingale representation theorem. The result shows that stationary linear cointegrations can exhibit nonlinear dynamics, in contrast with the normal assumption of linearity. We propose a sequential nonparametric method to test rst for cointegration and second for nonlinear dynamics in the cointegrated syst...

This paper studies asymptotic and finite sample properties of statistics devised to test for the null of no cointegration in nonstationary pooled time series panels as both the cross section and time series dimensions grow large. The paper finds that for panels with homogenous long run parameters, the spurious regression coefficient estimates become consistent even under the null of no cointegr...

This study is concerned with understanding of the factors of aggregate, nonviolent and violent crime categories in Turkey for the period 1965-2009. The determinants of all crime categories are related to selected socio-economic factors. Bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to test the existence of long-run relationship amongst the variables. Cointegration analysis yields the maj...

Quantile regression has important applications in risk management, portfolio optimization, and asset pricing. The current paper studies estimation, inference and …nancial applications of quantile regression with cointegrated time series. In addition, a new cointegration model with varying coe¢ cients is proposed. In the proposed model, the value of cointegrating coe¢ cients may be a¤ected by th...