Price dynamics in Indian cities were examined using cointegration analysis. We identified and calculated a common trend for prices in 25 major cities in India. Impulse response functions were obtained to calculate the rates of convergence to the prices and we found that the half-life of any shock is very small for Indian cities. Although a close to three-month half-life seems too fast, there is...

This paper examines, for the Brazilian case, if break-even inflation rates (BEIR) extracted from fixed income securities is an unbiased estimator of consumer inflation, measured by the CPI. Our estimates suggest that BEIRs are informative about future inflation, especially for the maturity of three months. The main innovation of our work, however, is the method used for estimation, allowing us ...

This paper adopts a New Keynesian approach to analyze the relationship between nominal interest rates and prices. In this new framework, both a positive relation between interest rates and price levels (i.e., a positive Gibson effect) and a negative relation between interest rates and subsequent price changes (i.e., a negative Fama-Fisher effect) arise when money is supplied inelastically and p...

The interrelationship between house prices and mortgage credit has been one of the more compelling issues to warrant attention after the recent financial crisis. Considerable financial innovation and liberalisation of wholesale international funding markets over the past 20 years greatly increased the ability of banking sectors to extend credit to the real economy. Almost inevitably many countr...

We estimate a large Bayesian time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model of daily stock return volatilities for 35 U.S. and European financial institutions. Based on that model we extract a connectedness index in the spirit of Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) (DYCI). We show that the connectedness index from the TVP-VAR model captures abrupt turning points better than the one obtained...

in this research, the attempt was made to test the existence of the natural rate hypothesis in iran, by using a johansson cointegration test. the results do not reveal any long run relationship between inflation and unemployment in iran for 1340-1386 periods. because of the time varying nature of nairu, the hp filter was applied to estimate the time series of nairu. comparing the nairu time ser...

one of the most important objectives of any economic system is to achieve to low and stable inflation and sustained economic growth. in this study, first, bayesian causal is indentified effective factors on inflation and then using bayesian causal network and determining prior probabilities and posterior probabilities in different scenarios,it is discussed the impacts of this factors on inflati...

abstract t he relationship between public sector deficits and inflation is one of the important and controversial issues in the academic literature as well as in economic policy field. on the other hand, a major objective of macroeconomic policies is to foster economic growth and to keep inflation on a low level. so keeping the price stability plays an important role in determining the growth r...

Cet article propose une reconstitution de l’approche Nogaro des phénomènes monétaires, et souligne sa contribution à l’explication hyperinflationnistes. Pour ce faire, nous exposons son approche méthodologique conception la monnaie : méthode historique le nominalisme monétaire. Celles-ci l’ont conduit proposer interprétation origina...

We dissect the impact of a large and sudden exchange rate appreciation on Swiss border import prices, retail consumer expenditures domestic imported nondurable goods, following removal EUR/CHF floor in January 2015. Cross-sectional variation price changes by currency invoicing carries over to prices allocations, impacting imports competing as well expenditures. provide measures sensitivity shar...