نتایج جستجو برای: 2040 and 2071

تعداد نتایج: 16827663  

2011
Howard Kunreuther Erwann Michel-Kerjan Nicola Ranger

The combined influences of a change in climate patterns and the increased concentration of property and economic activity in hazard-prone areas has the potential of restricting the availability and affordability of insurance. This paper evaluates the premiums that private insurers are likely to charge and their ability to cover residential losses against hurricane risk in Florida as a function ...

Journal: :Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2022

Abstract. Snowmelt is a major fresh water resource, and quantifying snowmelt its variability under climate change necessary for the planning management of resources. Spatiotemporal changes in snow properties China have drawn wide attention recent decades; however, country-wide assessments are lacking. Using precipitation temperature data with high spatial resolution (0.5′; approximately 1 km), ...

ژورنال: :مدیریت بیابان 0
علی سلاجقه الهام رفیعی ساردوئی علیرضا مقدم نیا آرش ملکیان شهاب عراقی نژاد شهرام خلیقی سیگارودی امین صالح پورجم

در چند دهه گذشته افزایش دمای زمین موجب بر هم خوردن تعادل اقلیمی کره زمین شده و تغییرات اقلیمی گسترده ای در بیشتر سطح کره زمین ایجاد شده است که از آن به عنوان تغییر اقلیم یاد می شود. هدف از این پژوهش، پیش بینی تغییرات اقلیمی توسط مدل ریزمقیاس نمایی آماری sdsm در دوره آینده برپایه سناریو a2  می­باشد. داده های روزانه بارش، دمای کمینه و دمای بیشینه ایستگاه سینوپتیک کرمانشاه، برای دو دوره 2015-2040 ...

2005
David M. Cutler Edward L. Glaeser Jacob L. Vigdor

This paper uses decennial Census data to examine trends in immigrant segregation in the United States between 1910 and 2000. Immigrant segregation declined in the first half of the century, but has been rising steadily over the past three decades. Analysis of restricted access 1990 Census microdata suggests that this rise would be even more striking if the native-born children of immigrants cou...

2014
Samuel H. Preston Andrew Stokes Neil K. Mehta Bochen Cao

We estimate the effects of declining smoking and increasing obesity on mortality in the United States over the period 2010-2040. Data on cohort behavioral histories are integrated into these estimates. Future distributions of body mass indices are projected using transition matrices applied to the initial distribution in 2010. In addition to projections of current obesity, we project distributi...

Journal: :Bibliothek Forschung Und Praxis 2023

Zusammenfassung Anhand der jungen Forscherin Elena werfen wir einen mit Absicht dystopischen Blick in die fiktive Zukunft wissenschaftlichen Arbeitens, und zwar jene im Jahr 2040, alle Warnzeichen fragwürdigen bis negativen Entwicklungen seit 2020 ignoriert Bequemlichkeit dem Druck nachgegeben haben. Willkommen Forschungsalltag nicht nur durch Plattformökonomie, sondern auch eine fragmentierte ...

Journal: :Turkish Journal of Agriculture: Food Science and Technology 2023

Bu çal??man?n amac?, Trakya Bölgesi’nde iklim de?i?ikli?inin bu?day bitkisinin verimine etkisini modellemektir. amaçla, çiftçi tarlas?ndan al?nan 2020-2021 dönemi verim de?eri, ayn? y?la ait verileri kullan?larak LINTUL model ile hesaplanan de?eri kar??la?t?r?larak kalibre edilmi? ve daha sonra HadGEM2-ES MPI-ESM-MR küresel modellerinin RCP4.5 RCP8.5 senaryolar?ndan elde edilen 2031-2040, 2041-...

2016
Kayoko Katayama Hiroto Narimatsu

Owing to the increasing number of elderly "baby boomers" in Japan, the number of cancer patients is also expected to increase. Approximately 2 million baby boomers from nearby local areas are residing in metropolitan areas; hence, the geographical distribution of cancer patients will probably markedly change. We assessed the expected number of breast cancer (BC) patients in different regions (u...

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