Economy-wide and hydrological-crop models are combined to estimate and compare the economic impacts of current climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, simulation results indicate that, on average, current variability reduces gross domestic product by four percent over a ten-year period and pulls over two percent of the population below ...

Economy-wide and hydrological-crop models are combined to estimate and compare the economic impacts of current climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, simulation results indicate that, on average, current variability reduces gross domestic product by four percent over a ten-year period and pulls over two percent of the population below ...

Wetlands are valuable ecosystems that provide many valuable services, yet many of these important ecosystems are at risk because of current trends in climate change. The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) in the upper-midwest of the United States and south-central Canada, characterized by glacially sculpted landscapes and abundant wetlands, is one such vulnerable region. According to regional/global ...

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) assessed a range of scenarios of future greenhouse-gas emissions without policies to specifically reduce emissions, and concluded that these would lead to an increase in global mean temperatures of between 1.6°C and 6.9°C by the end of the twenty-first century, relative to pre-industrial. While much political at...

Many studies project future bird ranges by relying on correlative species distribution models. Such models do not usually represent important processes explicitly related to climate change and harvesting, which limits their potential for predicting and understanding the future of boreal bird assemblages at the landscape scale. In this study, we attempted to assess the cumulative and specific im...

To evaluate the effect of climate change on peanut production in Northern Iran on the basis of 2oC rise in temperature, a study was conducted using the SSM-Peanut. The simulation was done based on the long-term data obtained from synoptic stations in Guilan including Anzali, Astara, Kiashahr (Astaneh Ashrafieh), Lahijan, Rasht (Agriculture station), Rasht (Airport station), Roudsar and Talesh. ...

A coarse resolution coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation where surface albedo feedback is artificially suppressed by prescribing surface albedo is compared to one where snow and sea ice anomalies are allowed to affect surface albedo, as the model was originally designed. Canonical CO -doubling experiments were performed with both models to assess the impact of surface albedo feedback on equilibr...

prediction of climatic variables on a local scale by general circulation models of the atmosphere is impossible because the models have large-scale network of resolution. therefore, downscaling methods are used to solve this problem. since the climate change phenomenon can affect different systems such as, water resources, agriculture, environment, industry and economy as well, selection of the...

BACKGROUND Global climate change is anticipated to reduce future cereal yields and threaten food security, thus potentially increasing the risk of undernutrition. The causation of undernutrition is complex, and there is a need to develop models that better quantify the potential impacts of climate change on population health. OBJECTIVES We developed a model for estimating future undernutritio...

abstract in this study, impact of climate change on net irrigation requirement (in) and yield of wheat using cgcm3 climate projection model, one of the aogcm models, in behshahr area is evaluated. changes in temperature and precipitation were simulated run under the ipcc scenario a2 for 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods. this work was done by using statistical and proportional downscal...